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"Fascism"—New Federal Rule Would Require Federal Funding Recipients To Deny Trans People Exist

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President Trump // Dominique A. Pineiro // Creative Commons

Last week, the Trump administration quietly released a sweeping new federal rule that would use funding threats to force institutions across the country to reject transgender people. The 400-page proposed regulation would codify the administration's anti-trans executive orders into binding federal policy, imposing a blanket prohibition on federal funds going toward "gender ideology"—with terms broad enough to encompass any acknowledgment that gender identity differs from sex assigned at birth or that transgender people even exist. If finalized, the rule would reach every hospital, university, school district, state government, nonprofit, and homeless shelter that receives federal funding, effectively requiring much of American institutional life to discriminate against transgender people as a condition of receiving federal money. And unlike an executive order, the rule would require significant work by a future administration to reverse.

The proposed rule, formally titled "Regulation for Federal Financial Assistance," rewrites the government-wide framework governing all federal grants across every agency. Among its most consequential provisions, it requires that before a federal grant recipient can receive money, the award must pass a "pre-issuance review" conducted by a political appointee—not a career expert or peer reviewer—to ensure it is "consistent with applicable law, Federal agency priorities, and the national interest." The regulation explicitly instructs these appointees to screen for "denial by the recipient of the sex binary in humans or the notion that sex is a chosen or mutable characteristic." The word "recipient" is doing critical work here: the review evaluates the organization, not just how the grant money will be spent. An institution that acknowledges transgender people exist—through its policies, its training, its healthcare, its bathroom access, its HR procedures, its name-change processes—could be deemed to "deny the sex binary" or to “support the notion that sex is mutable” and have its federal funding blocked. For grants that have already been issued, provisions also allow for the termination of funding.

The prohibition is vast. The rule bars federal awards from being used to "fund, promote, encourage, subsidize, or facilitate" gender ideology—and as mentioned before, because the screening evaluates the recipient as a whole, even indirect support could trigger enforcement. Since the rule was published, Erin in the Morning has been contacted by those worried about its impact on homeless shelters, which could be required to turn transgender people—any acknowledgment of a resident's gender identity could be grounds for a funding investigation. Colleges and universities, among the largest recipients of federal grants in the country, would face renewed federal pressure to enact bathroom bans, sports bans, and restrictions on name and gender marker changes—any institutional process that recognizes a gender identity different from sex assigned at birth could be deemed "gender ideology." Nonprofits and federally qualified health centers could be forced to stop acknowledging that transgender people exist entirely or serving their needs—a step some organizations briefly took during the chaos of the initial executive orders before pulling back when courts and advocates signaled they lacked enforceability. This rule is designed to give them enforceability.

Importantly, the gender ideology prohibition has no age limitation—hospitals could be targeted not just for providing care to minors but for providing gender-affirming care to adults, because prescribing hormone therapy to a transgender patient of any age could be deemed promoting the belief that "sex is a chosen or mutable characteristic." The Trump administration has already used funding threats and federal subpoenas to target hospitals providing gender-affirming care to transgender youth, a campaign that caused multiple institutions to suspend their programs even before any legal determination was made. The extraordinary broadness of the "gender ideology" definition—which covers not just care for minors but any endorsement of the idea that “sex is mutable”—would give the administration the regulatory infrastructure to expand that targeting to care for transgender adults if it so chose.

The rule was jointly proposed by 42 federal agencies—from the Department of Health and Human Services to the Department of Defense to the National Science Foundation to NASA—each of which signed the document through its senior leadership. Signatories include Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at HHS, Kelly Loeffler at the Small Business Administration, and Troy Edgar at the Department of Homeland Security. It is the broadest interagency rulemaking effort of the Trump administration, and it is designed to ensure that no single agency can opt out or slow-walk implementation.

The Human Rights Campaign, the nation's largest LGBTQ+ rights organization, came out fiercely against the rule, calling it "fascism." In a statement, the organization said: "Today, the Trump administration proposed a rule that would strip government money from any program that acknowledges diversity, abortion, or even the existence of transgender and nonbinary people. Withholding public grants from programs that depend on them because you refuse to acknowledge the humanity of certain communities is not good government. It's fascism. HRC and our millions of members, supporters, and allies will fight back."

The gender ideology funding prohibition is not the only provision targeting transgender or LGBTQ+ people. A separate section prohibits any federal funding for "the so-called 'transition' of a child under 19 years of age from one sex to another, including the chemical and surgical mutilation of children.” The rule also explicitly strips Bostock v. Clayton County, the landmark 2020 Supreme Court decision holding that sex discrimination includes discrimination based on gender identity, from the federal grants framework entirely. The preamble states that the prior administration's reading of Bostock is "no longer consistent with Administration policy" and replaces it with reasoning drawn from United States v. Skrmetti, the 2025 decision upholding Tennessee's ban on gender-affirming care for minors, to argue that none of these provisions constitute sex discrimination because they "apply equally to all."

The administration has tried to strip federal funding from organizations that support transgender people before, leading to a string of court losses. But those losses have not prevented organizations from overcomplying out of fear. The National Center for Missing and Exploited Children, the country's primary nonprofit fighting child sexual exploitation, erased all references to transgender people from its public materials after the Department of Justice threatened to pull its funding—and was told to deadname transgender children in its missing persons reports, meaning a missing trans girl would be listed under her birth name and identified as male, actively making her harder to find. RAINN, the nation's largest anti-sexual-violence organization, removed its inclusion policy and all pages expressing support for LGBTQ+ survivors of sexual violence—a population that faces disproportionately high rates of assault. And using similar threats, more than 40 hospitals have stopped providing gender-affirming care to transgender youth, suspending programs even in states where the care remains legal. This latest effort to formalize the policy into binding federal regulation is designed to insulate it from such court challenges, and we could see an entirely new round of even broader overcompliance as a result.

Nevertheless, court challenges are almost certainly coming, and the rule has a substantial likelihood of being blocked for at least a short amount of time. That said, the Supreme Court has greenlit virtually every policy targeting transgender people to come across its docket, and this rule could be the next one that rockets its way to the top. The public comment period closes July 13, 2026. Concerned readers can submit comments on the public comment page for the rule.

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sarcozona
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Japans Hidden Pandemic Toll Study Estimates More Than 10000 Excess Suicides During COVID19 Era

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A new study led by Quentin Batista (Amazon Japan), Daisuke Fujii (IMF), Taisuke Nakata (University of Tokyo), and Takeki Sunakawa(Hitotsubashi University), published in Scientific Reports, estimates that Japan experienced approximately 10,848 excess suicides between March 2020 and February 2023. Using national suicide data and pre-pandemic unemployment forecasts, the researchers conclude that rising unemployment explains less than 10% of the increase, suggesting that factors beyond traditional economic distress played a major role in the surge. The findings highlight a less visible but potentially profound public health consequence of the COVID-19 era.

Looking Beyond COVID-19 Deaths

Much of the world's attention during the pandemic focused on infection rates and mortality. The authors instead examined suicide trends, asking a simple but important question: how many suicides occurred above what would have been expected had the pandemic never happened?

Using monthly suicide records from Japan's Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare and pre-COVID unemployment forecasts from major economic institutions, the researchers modeled a hypothetical "no-pandemic" trajectory and compared it with observed outcomes. The difference became their estimate of excess suicide mortality.

Women and Younger Adults Bore a Disproportionate Burden

The study estimates 10,848 excess suicides during the three-year period, although sensitivity analyses produced estimates ranging from approximately 7,000 to nearly 13,000 depending on model assumptions.

The burden was not evenly distributed.

Women accounted for roughly half of excess suicides despite historically representing only about 30% of suicides in Japan. Younger adults—particularly women in their 20s and 30s—experienced some of the highest excess-suicide ratios. The pattern suggests that the pandemic era may have disproportionately affected populations already vulnerable to social and psychological stressors.

The Economic Explanation Falls Short

Perhaps the study's most surprising finding is what did not explain the increase.

The authors estimate that only about 840 excess suicides—roughly 8% of the total—could be attributed to elevated unemployment. More than 90% of excess suicide mortality remained unexplained by the historical relationship between unemployment and suicide.

The study does not identify the precise causes of this remaining increase. The authors discuss several possibilities cited by commentators, including social isolation, reduced in-person interactions, domestic stress, celebrity suicides, and broader disruptions to daily life. However, the study was not designed to test those hypotheses directly.

Years of Life Lost Nearly Matched COVID-19 Mortality

The most striking finding may be the comparison of lost life expectancy.

The researchers estimate approximately 406,000 years of life lost from excess suicides during the study period, compared with roughly 440,000 years lost from COVID-19 deaths in Japan. Because suicides disproportionately affected younger individuals, each death carried a larger loss of potential life years.

This does not mean suicide deaths equaled COVID-19 deaths numerically. Rather, it illustrates how mortality among younger populations can produce a societal impact that extends far beyond raw death counts.

Red Flags & Limitations

This is a modeling study, not a direct measurement of causation. The analysis assumes that the historical relationship between unemployment and suicide remained stable during the pandemic. If that relationship changed, the estimates may shift.

The study also cannot determine which pandemic-era factors contributed most to excess suicides. Importantly, it contains no vaccination-status analysis and does not compare vaccinated versus unvaccinated individuals. Any vaccine-related conclusions would therefore be unsupported by the data presented.

TrialSite Evidence Strength Indicator™ (ESI 2.0)

Category

Score

Notes

Methodological Rigor & Risk of Bias

8/10

National datasets, transparent modeling, sensitivity analyses.

Consistency & Effect Size

8/10

Large effect persists across alternative specifications.

External Validity & Applicability

7/10

Strong relevance to developed nations, though Japan has unique suicide dynamics.

Human Consequence Index (HCI)

10/10

Direct implications for mortality, mental health, and public policy.

Pluralism Index (PI)

8/10

Authors acknowledge uncertainty and multiple possible explanations.

Transparency & Disclosure

9/10

Methods, assumptions, and limitations clearly reported.

Summary (Weighted View)

83%

Strong observational evidence of substantial excess suicide mortality during the COVID-19 era.

Citation

Batista Q, Fujii D, Nakata T, Sunakawa T. COVID-19 and suicide in Japan from March 2020 to February 2023. Scientific Reports (2026). DOI: 10.1038/s41598-026-52517-4. Journal Impact Factor: approximately 4.6–4.8.

© 2026 TrialSite News™. All rights reserved.

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sarcozona
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Canada's Forests Are Shifting From a Recovery‐Driven Carbon Sink to a Disturbance‐Driven Carbon Source

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Canada's Forests Are Shifting From a Recovery-Driven Carbon Sink to a Disturbance-Driven Carbon Source

Canada's terrestrial ecosystems have historically functioned as a net carbon sink but are increasingly impacted by wildfire and timber harvest. Using wall-to-wall, physically coherent estimates of all major carbon pools and fluxes from the Canadian Land Surface Scheme Including Biogeochemical Cycles land surface model, we show that rising wildfire activity is threatening Canada's land carbon sink.


ABSTRACT

Canada's terrestrial ecosystems are critical to the global carbon cycle and are responding to unprecedented climate change and wildfire disturbance. However, our understanding of Canada's historical (~1920—present) carbon cycle is incomplete. There are also no published physically coherent (i.e., those that respect conservation laws) wall-to-wall estimates of all major carbon pools and fluxes for Canada. Existing assessments vary in spatial scale and methodology, yielding notable differences in the magnitude of Canada's land carbon sink. Moreover, inversions and data-driven estimates do not disentangle the relative influence of disturbance, CO2 fertilization, or climate change on Canada's carbon cycle. Here, we synthesize information from the site to Canada-wide scale with a land surface model and the most comprehensive wildfire and wood harvest estimates available to provide the first physically coherent wall-to-wall estimates of all major carbon pools and fluxes for Canada. Using factorial model runs, we show that Canada's terrestrial ecosystems have been a carbon sink since the mid-20th-century, due to wildfire and timber harvest before 1940. Since the early 2000s, wildfire disturbance has been driving Canadian forests towards becoming a carbon source. Continued increases in wildfire activity will further weaken, and may ultimately reverse, Canada's role as a carbon sink.

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sarcozona
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Understanding why autism symptoms sometimes improve amid fever | MIT News | Massachusetts Institute of Technology

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Scientists are catching up to what parents and other caregivers have been reporting for many years: When some people with autism spectrum disorders experience an infection that sparks a fever, their autism-related symptoms seem to improve.

With a pair of new grants from The Marcus Foundation, scientists at MIT and Harvard Medical School hope to explain how this happens in an effort to eventually develop therapies that mimic the “fever effect” to similarly improve symptoms.

“Although it isn’t actually triggered by the fever, per se, the ‘fever effect’ is real, and it provides us with an opportunity to develop therapies to mitigate symptoms of autism spectrum disorders,” says neuroscientist Gloria Choi, associate professor in the MIT Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences and affiliate of The Picower Institute for Learning and Memory.

Choi will collaborate on the project with Jun Huh, associate professor of immunology at Harvard Medical School. Together the grants to the two institutions provide $2.1 million over three years.

“To the best of my knowledge, the ‘fever effect’ is perhaps the only natural phenomenon in which developmentally determined autism symptoms improve significantly, albeit temporarily,” Huh says. “Our goal is to learn how and why this happens at the levels of cells and molecules, to identify immunological drivers, and produce persistent effects that benefit a broad group of individuals with autism.”

The Marcus Foundation has been involved in autism work for over 30 years, helping to develop the field and addressing everything from awareness to treatment to new diagnostic devices.

“I have long been interested in novel approaches to treating and lessening autism symptoms, and doctors Choi and Huh have honed in on a bold theory,” says Bernie Marcus, founder and chair of The Marcus Foundation. “It is my hope that this Marcus Foundation Medical Research Award helps their theory come to fruition and ultimately helps improve the lives of children with autism and their families.”

Brain-immune interplay

For a decade, Huh and Choi have been investigating the connection between infection and autism. Their studies suggest that the beneficial effects associated with fever may arise from molecular changes in the immune system during infection, rather than on the elevation of body temperature, per se.

Their work in mice has shown that maternal infection during pregnancy, modulated by the composition of the mother’s microbiome, can lead to neurodevelopmental abnormalities in the offspring that result in autism-like symptoms, such as impaired sociability. Huh’s and Choi’s labs have traced the effect to elevated maternal levels of a type of immune-signaling molecule called IL-17a, which acts on receptors in brain cells of the developing fetus, leading to hyperactivity in a region of the brain’s cortex called S1DZ. In another study, they’ve shown how maternal infection appears to prime offspring to produce more IL-17a during infection later in life.

Building on these studies, a 2020 paper clarified the fever effect in the setting of autism. This research showed that mice that developed autism symptoms as a result of maternal infection while in utero would exhibit improvements in their sociability when they had infections — a finding that mirrored observations in people. The scientists discovered that this effect depended on over-expression of IL-17a, which in this context appeared to calm affected brain circuits. When the scientists administered IL-17a directly to the brains of mice with autism-like symptoms whose mothers had not been infected during pregnancy, the treatment still produced improvements in symptoms.

New studies and samples

This work suggested that mimicking the “fever effect” by giving extra IL-17a could produce similar therapeutic effects for multiple autism-spectrum disorders, with different underlying causes. But the research also left wide-open questions that must be answered before any clinically viable therapy could be developed. How exactly does IL-17a lead to symptom relief and behavior change in the mice? Does the fever effect work in the same way in people?

In the new project, Choi and Huh hope to answer those questions in detail.

“By learning the science behind the fever effect and knowing the mechanism behind the improvement in symptoms, we can have enough knowledge to be able to mimic it, even in individuals who don’t naturally experience the fever effect,” Choi says.

Choi and Huh will continue their work in mice seeking to uncover the sequence of molecular, cellular and neural circuit effects triggered by IL-17a and similar molecules that lead to improved sociability and reduction in repetitive behaviors. They will also dig deeper into why immune cells in mice exposed to maternal infection become primed to produce IL-17a.

To study the fever effect in people, Choi and Huh plan to establish a “biobank” of samples from volunteers with autism who do or don’t experience symptoms associated with fever, as well as comparable volunteers without autism. The scientists will measure, catalog, and compare these immune system molecules and cellular responses in blood plasma and stool to determine the biological and clinical markers of the fever effect.

If the research reveals distinct cellular and molecular features of the immune response among people who experience improvements with fever, the researchers could be able to harness these insights into a therapy that mimics the benefits of fever without inducing actual fever. Detailing how the immune response acts in the brain would inform how the therapy should be crafted to produce similar effects.

"We are enormously grateful and excited to have this opportunity," Huh says. "We hope our work will ‘kick up some dust’ and make the first step toward discovering the underlying causes of fever responses. Perhaps, one day in the future, novel therapies inspired by our work will help transform the lives of many families and their children with ASD [autism spectrum disorder]."

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UVic data highlights devastation of Vancouver Island kelp forests from climate change

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New research from the University of Victoria has revealed that kelp forests around Vancouver Island started disappearing far earlier than scientists previously thought.

The discovery highlights the fact that climate change has been altering our ecosystems for longer than most people have been aware of the problem, the report said.

“Most research has focused on recent kelp forest losses resulting from well-known marine heatwaves, like the record-breaking ‘Blob’ heatwave that hit our coast a decade ago,” said Brian Timmer, lead author of the study recently published in Ecological Applications.

The study compared baselines for bull kelp and associated macroalgae communities in the northern Salish Sea using maps, aerial photos and scuba surveys from as far back as 1972 to identical surveys and photos in 2023.

The purpose was to find the difference in kelp forest size and abundance over the last 50 years.

“These recent changes to our kelp forests have been intense,” said Chris Neufeld, co-author and senior aquatic ecologist at LGL Limited.

“Our research shows that some areas of the BC coast have been warming much faster than the global average, and associated kelp declines began decades ago. We’ve been underestimating the magnitude of ocean-warming impacts for years.”

Historical records showed that there used to be massive bull kelp forests floating at the surface, covering more than 550 hectares of the sea near Comox and Denman Island. These records increased the previous baseline of kelp forests by a factor of 10.

Unfortunately, none of those forests remain today.

Satellite records show that most of the loss occurred between 1972 and 1984. This is well before kelp losses were documented during more recent marine heatwaves.

Timmer’s research also showed that climate change was a driving factor behind much of the loss of these kelp forests by using historical temperature data from Salish Sea lighthouses and determining that by the time the kelp had disappeared in the late 70s, the sea was substantially warmer than it had been in the early 1900s.

Temperatures have continued to climb, making conditions even worse now than they were since the initial devastating losses, the news release explained.

Timmer’s study found that under the surface of the water, cold-adapted species of kelp and red algae had declined between 60% to 99%, as the decline was particularly strong in shallow water. When cold-adapted species died off, they were not replaced by warm-water species.

The result of this is significant habitat loss and reduced food availability for coastal species like herring, rockfish and salmon.

“We’ve been living with a completely warped sense of what ‘normal’ oceans look like,” Timmer said.

“What we previously thought of as a baseline for the extent of our kelp forests was already post-collapse.”

Timmer went on to explain that their research shows how important baselines are when investigating the impact of climate change.

These baselines help researchers, scientists and others to make informed decisions about conservation, restoration and climate action before more irreversible damage occurs.

Kelp forests are integral to coastal ecosystems. They provide habitat and food for fish, which supports fisheries, protects shorelines and contributes to cultural and economic wellbeing.

The study was funded by Fishers and Oceans Canada, the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council, the National Geographic Society and the Royal Canadian Geographic Society’s Trebek Initiative.

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Muni Tobacco Bonds See First Default as Nassau County Misses Payment - Bloomberg

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