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(1) Extreme climate events can change how birds sing

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In 1977, the wet season brought only 24 mm of rainfall to the small island of Daphne Major. The Medium ground finches inhabiting this island in the Galápagos archipelago did not breed that year—they were struggling to survive. About 85% of the population died.

Extreme climate events, such as the 1977 drought, allow us to observe evolution in real time. On Daphne Major, only the Medium ground finches (Geospiza fortis) with beaks large and strong enough to crack the large, hard seeds that remained survived—and passed these traits on to future generations during subsequent breeding seasons.

Medium ground finches (G. fortis). Image: Daderot, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons.

Let’s explore which unexpected consequences such changes of beak size in a bird population can have for the species.

First, it’s important to understand that having a larger, stronger beak doesn’t just affect what a bird can eat—it also affects how it sings. Previous research1 has shown that finches with big and more robust beaks tend to sing more slowly and with lower frequency ranges compared to finches with smaller, more delicate beaks.

A more recent study from 20242 found that drought-driven changes in beak shape can alter the song of Medium ground finches so dramatically that conspecifics from unaffected populations may no longer recognize them as members of their species!

Using existing knowledge about how droughts affect beaks and birdsong, the researchers simulated the beak shapes and calls of hypothetical future finches after varying numbers of drought events. They then played the calls of these future birds to male individuals in the wild to measure their response behavior—strong responses indicating that birds recognize the song as one of their own species.

The researchers observed that, despite the changes in song after three simulated droughts, the finches still responded aggressively, as if defending their territory. They often left their perch quickly to search for the perceived intruder.

However, after six simulated droughts, the songs had changed so much that the birds’ responses dropped significantly. They no longer recognized the song as one of their own species! Since these birds rely heavily on birdsong for mate choice, this would lead to reproductive isolation—and may drive the evolution of a new species!

The study was published in October 2024 in Science. You can read it here.

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Have a wonderful rest of the week! All the best,

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sarcozona
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Air Canada CEO Faces Quebec Vote Demanding Resignation After Crash Video - Bloomberg

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Quebec’s legislature passed a vote demanding that Air Canada’s chief executive officer resign over his failure to speak French in a video about this week’s deadly collision at LaGuardia Airport.

The statement in the legislature, known as the National Assembly, called on CEO Michael Rousseau to leave his post over a “lack of respect for the French language, Quebec families in mourning, and all Francophones across the province.” The vote of elected members was 92 in favor of the motion and none against, with one abstention.

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sarcozona
14 hours ago
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It’s really really important to speak french if you have a position of power in canada
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Noname - Hundred Acres ft. Devin Morrison (Official Music Video) - YouTube

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sarcozona
19 hours ago
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Mass Disabling Continues

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Recently stumbled across a thread by someone who dug deeply into the most recent data from Britain. It’s pretty abysmal, but what’s most interesting is the notes:

  • There’s no systemic testing for either covid or long covid any more;
  • Long Covid is often diagnosed as something else;
  • You can have organ damage from Covid without it having symptoms (though you’ll pay for it later);
  • Covid damage often leads to other health events (like heart attacks and cancer) which will not be shown as Covid related.

And:

Final note: The charts of the GP-Patient survey data in this thread were created by me. They are not official charts from the survey report… …and that’s because the data on prevalence of Long Covid (Q40) was curiously *left out* of the national report.

Luckily, data from the Long Covid question (Q40) is still available in the raw data files which is how I’ve been able to create my chart. However, these LC stats will have been seen by very few people unless they’ve been digging around in the raw data.

If we just pretend it’s not a problem… so typical of almost everything in the West these days. Whistling past the graveyard is all our elites do except march a bunch of proles straight into graves.

The entire thread is worth a read, but I’ll pull out two more charts:

Second:

 

The date where it all goes… north, is instructive.

I would add further that I think in a couple generations it will be recognized that the greatest damage was done to children in school, where they were reinfected multiple times. It often doesn’t show up as “long covid” because of their youth, but I’m laying long odds that their lifespans and healthy lifespans took a huge hit.

We continue to refuse to do anything about this. Every time I suggest making proper clean air changes to buildings, especially public buildings like hospitals and schools, the comments are full of people saying “but it would be expensive, we can’t do it” as if we aren’t wasting trillions on war and AI and various corporate subsidies, or haven’t lost trillions in tax revenue thru tax cuts for the rich and couldn’t do it if it was important to us. It’s always amazing to me how many proles spew back up the same bullshit elites use to justify their depravity.

Anyway, hardly anyone’s talking about Covid, but I’ll keep doing so. And my advice remains the same as it has for years: if your children are in a school which doesn’t take this seriously, find another school or home school them if there’s any way you can. If you care about your children, this is worth making some sacrifices for.

Most people rant on and on about how they love their children, but I watch how they act, and it’s a love expressed in words, not action, let alone sacrifice. When I was sitting next to my mother’s bed for the last two weeks of her life the province had people helping care for her at home, and I talked to them. They said almost no children do what I did, and recounted stories of the most horrid behaviour imaginable. I felt I was doing the absolute minimum. They thought I was a Saint.

(I didn’t sit by my Dad’s bed. Part of it is that it wasn’t clear when he’d die, but frankly he was a horrid father and husband and made my mother and my lives hell and that’s the real reason.)

Judged by how children treat their parents when they’re old, I’d say most parents sucked. Try not to be one of those.

Had a lot of subscribers unsubscribe recently. I assume it’s the economy and/or hating my coverage of Israel. If you value my writing and can, please subscribe or donate.

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sarcozona
4 days ago
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America and Public Disorder

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‘ Addressing our biggest social flaw…’ (Chris Arnade via Substack)

Arnade’s argument rests on the observation that a relatively small subset of profoundly impaired people with overlapping psychosis, addiction, and grave functional decline account for much of the disorder the public actually encounters in American cities. These are not merely the generic homeless, because the issue is not poverty alone or housing instability in the abstract, but a narrower population that often cannot function reliably even when housing exists and whose deterioration spills into shared civic space. He is also probably right that a small number of vivid, unsettling encounters can change how ordinary people use cities. Urban life depends less on the statistical frequency of victimization than on confidence that public behavior will remain within tolerable bounds; once that expectation weakens, people withdraw into privacy, avoidance, and defensive insulation. His moral challenge also has force: for some severely disorganized individuals, nominal liberty can amount to prolonged abandonment, and nonintervention may be less an expression of compassion than a failure to protect people who are no longer able to protect themselves.

Where the essay weakens is in its causal simplification and in the confidence of its remedies. Arnade leans heavily on anecdote, treats visibility as a proxy for prevalence, and overstates the explanatory power of culture, underplaying the institutional drivers of the American landscape: failed deinstitutionalization, fragmented psychiatric and addiction care, housing scarcity, and a far more destabilizing drug supply. That matters because his solutions—more involuntary treatment, mandated addiction care, and incarceration with treatment elements—have intuitive appeal in extreme cases but outrun both the evidence and the country’s actual capacity. The problem is not well framed as permissiveness versus control. The more credible answer is a continuum of assertive outreach, low-threshold engagement, stabilization, supportive housing, and sustained treatment, with coercion reserved for narrower circumstances than his rhetoric suggests. He is persuasive in arguing that the status quo fails both the public and the most visibly ill; he is much less persuasive in showing that expanded coercion is the main solution rather than a partial tool inside a much larger, underbuilt system of care.



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sarcozona
5 days ago
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Australian Mining Billionaire Sues Canada for $2 Billion | The Tyee

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Northback Holdings, a coal mining company owned by billionaire Australian Gina Rinehart, has launched a $2-billion claim against the Canadian government under a little-known trade agreement.

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The Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, or CPTPP, a pact signed by Canada in 2018 to reduce tariffs and promote economic ties with 11 Asian countries, contains a provision that allows corporations to sue governments if they feel they have been mistreated, known as investor-state dispute settlement, or ISDS.

In September 2024 Rinehart’s company first submitted its intent to pursue a $7-billion claim against the Canadian government on the grounds that it breached the provisions of the CPTPP by saying no to its metallurgical coal project.

Her company later amended the claim to $2 billion in a request for arbitration in December 2024. Since then, two of three foreign arbitrators have been chosen to hear the case.

According to a document obtained by The Tyee, Northback says it is suing the Canadian government, in part, for “the wrongful denial of its application for regulatory approvals for the Grassy Mountain Project by both the governments of Alberta and Canada, and the courts’ wrongful refusal to set aside those denials.”

The claim adds that “as a result of actions attributable to Canada that were unreasonable, arbitrary, capricious, and unfair, the value of Hancock and Riversdale's shareholding in Northback was destroyed.”

The Grassy Mountain project, which Rinehart purchased from Riversdale Resources in 2019 for $740 million, proposed to dig up 4.5 million tonnes of metallurgical coal a year over a 23-year period in a critical watershed of the Oldman River in southern Alberta near the Crowsnest Pass. That major prairie river provides water for the communities and irrigation industry downstream.

Due to water concerns, a broad public coalition of ranchers, farmers, First Nations and conservationists strongly opposed the project as well as related mining developments in the Rocky Mountains by largely Australian coal interests.

In 2021 a joint review panel firmly recommended after an extensive public hearing that the Grassy Mountain project was not in the public interest for economic and environmental reasons, including selenium pollution. It also raised issues about the quality of coal Northback proposed to mine.

As soon as the Alberta and Canadian governments accepted the panel’s recommendations, Rinehart commenced a legal campaign to overturn the decisions.

Yet subsequent rulings by the Court of Appeal, Court of King’s Bench and Supreme Court of Canada repeatedly found that Northback had no legal case.

In 2023 five largely Australian companies, including Valory Resources (also known as Black Eagle Mining Corp.), Atrum Coal, Northback Holdings and Cabin Ridge Holdings, sued the Alberta government for a total of $15 billion over its changes to coal policy.

One of Rinehart’s two lawsuits against the government of Alberta sought damages of $7 billion in a filing dated March 2024. The status of these Northback claims is not known, while two other companies settled with the Alberta government out of court at a cost to taxpayers of nearly $300 million.

Northback Holdings did not reply to queries from the Tyee.

Kyla Tienhaara, a Queen’s University professor who studies the impact of investor-state dispute settlements, called Northback’s CPTPP claim “outrageous.”

She termed “preposterous” an investor-state dispute settlement mechanism that “allows for companies to claim compensation for speculative lost future profits rather than just their sunk costs (what they spent, for example, on mining exploration).”

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She cited an example in which a 2019 tribunal awarded Tethyan Copper Co., a joint venture of Antofagasta of Chile and Barrick Gold of Canada, US$5.84 billion in damages against the government of Pakistan. That’s two times what the country spends on health care for its people every year.

Yet the company had never commenced work at the mining site, having spent only $220 million on its development. “At the time of the tribunal’s decision, the country was in economic turmoil, and the award was released mere weeks after an announcement that the International Monetary Fund had granted US$6 billion in financing to Pakistan,” added Tienhaara. The IMF grant covered the total amount of the claim.

Tienhaara said that Albertans and Canadians “should be seriously concerned that this system provides foreign companies and wealthy individuals with an extremely powerful tool to bully governments with. The threat of an ISDS case can lead policymakers to roll back or fail to implement policies that are clearly in the public interest. It makes no sense to privilege one group of actors (foreign corporations) over everyone else.”

Nigel Bankes, a retired Calgary law professor who has followed the province’s coal battles, said he was not surprised by the latest lawsuit. “If there’s one thing Gina Rinehart is good at, it is pursuing every legal avenue available, and every possible court system (Alberta KB, Alberta Court of Appeal and the SCC, the Federal Court and now an international investment tribunal) to get what she wants.”

Northback says it was ‘not afforded due process’

Northback’s claim also cites Alberta’s 2022 coal moratorium as a bone of contention. That’s when public protests forced the Alberta government to reinstate its original Coal Policy which forbade open-pit mining in most of the Rockies.

“Prior to implementing this indefinite moratorium, the Claimants were not afforded due process, procedural fairness, transparency or candour,” states the ISDS claim.

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Yet Premier Danielle Smith’s government rescinded the moratorium in 2025. Ever since then Northback has signalled its intention to reapply for a revised Grassy Mountain project under new coal rules set by industry and government.

As soon as Smith’s resource-friendly United Conservative Party government came to power in 2022, it actively signalled unqualified support for Northback Holdings’ coal ambitions in southern Alberta.

Smith repeated company claims that the Grassy Mountain project would clean up a previously unreclaimed mining site when in reality the project would expand the area of destruction. Her energy minister, Brian Jean, then exempted the company from the 2022 coal moratorium by claiming the denied project was really an “approved coal project.”

Smith also supported a referendum on the project in the municipality of Crowsnest Pass even though the project is located in the neighbouring municipal district of Ranchland, whose residents are overwhelmingly opposed to the proposal.

Regulator’s controversial Northback meeting

The CEO of the Alberta Energy Regulator, or AER, met with Northback representatives just weeks before the AER approved plans for more exploratory work needed for a new mine application at Grassy Mountain.

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That meeting appalled at least one AER public hearing commissioner. In an email obtained by the Globe and Mail, AER commissioner Meg Barker asked, “Why on earth did they think it was appropriate to meet with Northback before the decision was issued?” She described the decision to meet with the company before the AER issued its ruling as “an egregious error in judgment and entirely inappropriate.”

The AER also stirred outrage by cancelling a planned public hearing on a new coal mine in response to a company’s complaints about the process.

Earlier this month, the Smith government signed a new draft agreement with Ottawa that would give Alberta more say over environmental impact assessments for major projects including Grassy Mountain. Critics have called the agreement “an abdication of federal responsibility.”

Investor-state dispute settlements of the kind the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership provides have been criticized as undemocratic and secretive.

In recent years Canadian mining and energy companies have repeatedly used ISDS agreements outside of North America to extract concessions, including $10 billion in compensations, from foreign governments.  [Tyee]

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sarcozona
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