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Do you have a will? You should have a will!

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Patrick Rhone writes, in If You’re a G@d D%&m Adult, You Should Have A F*^K*&#g Will, about why we should all have an up to date will:

Look, it’s simple. If you are over the age of 18, you should have a will and all of the other important legal documents (medical directives, power of attorney, etc).

You should for sure have one if you have any assets over a thousand dollars. You absolutely should have one if you have kids.

I remain gobsmacked at the number of people who don’t.

I’m actually somewhat angry at those in their  60’s, 70’s, 80’s (i.e. My parents — too many other Boomers. It always seems to be the Boomers) who don’t.

Look, I understand. You think you always have tomorrow. You think you’ll put it on the list and get around to it. You think you’re in good health so why bother. You think it’s too complicated. You have a million other excuses…

And they’re all bullshit.

He’s right.

Catherine and I first had wills drafted after Olivia was born, and we kept them updated over the years as our circumstances changed.

As a result, when Catherine died in 2000, one of the things I didn’t need to sort out—and there were a lot of things to sort out—was that. Catherine’s wishes were clear. Our lawyer understood them. I understood them. It was a small relief when small reliefs had an outsized impact. 

Patrick goes on to relate some stories that, if you don’t have a will, I hope will spur you to action.

Since Catherine died, I’ve updated my will again. My lawyer is clear that it can be—should be—a living document, not a “set it and forget it.” But even a “set it and forget it” will is something.

 (While you’re at it, if you have people who depend on you for money and/or labour, you should have life insurance too. Realizing that I didn’t have to pay back a burgeoning line of credit when Catherine died, because we had it life insured, was another outsized relief.)

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sarcozona
57 minutes ago
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Epiphyte City
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Male/Male Porn: Politically Weightless

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This video excerpt from Things Are Always Happening delves into the well-known (but not always well-understood by men) phenomenon of women who love watching gay male porn. At least for our unidentified female narrator, it’s the political weightlessness that’s part of the attraction:

Make sure you keep your arms and legs inside the vehicle, this is a bumpy ride all the way to the end! Per the transcript:

Her: Some women like to be subs, right? It’s all “Woohoo! Sexual liberation, empowerment, I can do whatever I want!” Right? Hmm?

Him: Yeah.

Her: Wrong! It’s tinged with this political guilt, like I’m indulging the most insidious aspects of men. “I know why I like being choked, but why does he like choking me?” Doesn’t always sit right, does it? But when I’m watching a guy in a milkmaid outfit get choked out by his mafia boss, I don’t have to think about whether or not he’s read bell hooks. I can just think “Look at him go!” And then I rub one out. It’s sexual fantasy without political weight! And that’s why, if you support women, you’ll put this on.

[She hands him a French maid cosplay outfit]

[Him, bemused] Yeah!

[Her]…and get pregnant.

[Him, startled] What???

What, indeed?


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sarcozona
59 minutes ago
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Epiphyte City
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On Peace Deals...

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Two wars (Russian invasion of Ukraine, Iran and proxies versus Israel and the U.S.) are of macroeconomic importance due to their effect on global energy prices. The Trump administration has been floating the idea of “peace deals” to distract from failure in the midterms. Peace deals are possible, but they are going to conform to the facts on the ground. This should result in lower energy prices — but it is very much unclear whether they will happen.

Before World War I, nationalism either did not exist, or was suppressed (the nineteenth century). In the pre-nationalism world, monarchs were happy to trade territory back and forth. (My home province of Quebec was handed over to the British as part of a wide-ranging peace deal between France and England.) Now, countries are loathe to hand over their nationals to foreigners. So, modern peace deals are either the result of one side being incapable of fighting, or the peace deal freezes the border pretty much exactly where the front lines are (which will naturally be defensible boundaries).

Russia/Ukraine

On the Russian/Ukrainian side, neither side has reached the point where it is unwilling or incapable of fighting. (The Ukrainians do not need to march on Moscow. Since World War II, great powers have a fairly poor track record in fighting conflicts that are existential to the smaller powers, and just give up and bring their troops home.) The result is that the borders would freeze where they are. Based on reports of the negotiations, this has not happened yet because the Russians have imposed delusional extra conditions, like Ukraine giving up territory they control, and impositions on Ukraine’s domestic politics and external affairs. (A report today alleges that Russia is making demands on NATO countries.)

The only reason that a peace deal would happen is if Russia gives up those extra demands. This could plausibly happen if the oil refinery campaign has done enough damage that they accept that a period of ceasefire is in their interest. However, this does not seem to be what is happening. Instead, it seems more likely that the Trump administration is attempting to force the Ukrainians to capitulate.

This is unlikely to work in that the Russians currently do not have any momentum on the front line, and the ability of the White House to dictate American foreign policy may soon be hamstrung by the new Congress. As such, the latest talks are probably just a desperate last gasp attempt to pressure Ukraine in the lame duck session.

Iran Conflict

The White House can easily walk away from the conflict in Ukraine, but it is stuck in a mess that it created when it started the bombing campaign against Iran. The status quo can continue somewhat indefinitely, although ability of the United States to project force in the region is being strained.

The problem appears to be that Iran is content with the status quo — the current situation is more damaging to the White House politically than it is to them. Even if the economic damage to Iran is greater, that is not necessarily a major sensitive point to the Iranian regime. They recently violently repressed an uprising that started in December 2025.

The White House complained that the Iranians were making unreasonable demands. That is exactly what one should expect if one’s enemy views the current situation favouring themselves. A frozen conflict with periodic bursts of violence seems to be the likely outcome, as both sides attempt to outwait the other. Oil is flowing, and it appears that the global economy has adapted to lowered flows.

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sarcozona
15 hours ago
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‘A new age of climate extremes’: Earth accumulating heat at accelerating rate | Cop31 | The Guardian

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Heat is accumulating in Earth’s systems at an accelerating rate, the UN’s weather agency has reported as the Cop31 climate change summit begins in Turkey, with 2026 on track to be one of the four warmest years on record.

The imbalance between incoming energy from the sun and energy leaving Earth reached its highest level since monitoring began, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said in its State of the Global Climate update.

That imbalance and the accumulation of heat will supercharge extreme weather events such as heatwaves, droughts and tropical cyclones.

Around the world, the average surface temperature for January to September 2026 was about 1.47C above the preindustrial average, the agency said. Sea surface temperatures hit monthly records and sea level was the highest since records began. The ocean absorbs 90% of the excess heat trapped by greenhouse gases and 2026 is on track to be a 10th successive year of record ocean heat.

A centre for people experiencing respiratory difficulties in Palangkaraya, Indonesia. More than 11,000 people have been treated during a months-long wildfire crisis. Photograph: REINA/AFP/Getty Images

“We have entered a new age of climate extremes,” said António Guterres, the UN secretary general. “A supersized El Niño is colliding with a planet already superheated by manmade climate change. Climate records keep falling. The human costs keep rising. And those least responsible are suffering first and worst.”

Diplomats and world leaders are meeting on Monday in the Turkish resort city of Antalya for the 31st conference of the parties (Cop) to the UN framework convention on climate change. In 1992, when the convention was signed, the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide, the primary greenhouse gas, was 356.42 parts per million (ppm). In 2025 it was 426.8 ppm, the WMO said. Overall, since 1750, the onset of the Industrial Revolution, the concentration has increased 53%.

The WMO reported that ocean heat content estimates indicate Earth’s energy imbalance rose at a rate of 0.3W per sq metre each decade for the period 2001–2025, compared with 0.13W per sq metre between 1960 and 2025.

Accordingly, 2026 is on track to be one of the four warmest years on record globally, making 2023 to 2026 the four warmest years since records began.

The Cop31 climate summit begins in Antalya, Turkey, on Monday. Photograph: Murad Sezer/Reuters

The year started with La Niña conditions in the Pacific, which typically act as a brake on global temperatures, lowering the average by about 0.1-0.2C. A brewing El Niño, a phenomenon that warms global temperatures, and whose latest iteration is forecast to be stronger than any to have taken place in the past 1,000 years, makes it likely that the final mean temperature for 2026 will be higher than 1.47C above the pre-industrial average.

Heat in the upper 2,000 metres (6,500ft) of the ocean in 2025 was the highest in the observed record and was accelerating, the WMO said. “This warming is projected to continue, representing a change that is irreversible on centennial to millennial timescales,” according to the report.

At the poles, Antarctic sea ice reached its third-lowest annual maximum ever in 2026, while the Arctic maximum was the lowest or second lowest. Elsewhere in the cryosphere, glaciers lost more than 400 gigatonnes of mass. It was the fourth consecutive year in which all 19 glacierised regions around the world experienced mass loss, the WMO said.

Bill McGuire, a professor emeritus of geophysical and climate hazards at University College London, said there were “no surprises” from the report, “to the extent that every measure reported, whether it be global temperature, sea level rise or sea ice extent, points to the fact that we are in deep shit”.

He said: “Of most concern is the growing imbalance between the incoming energy from the sun and that leaving the planet. Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere mean that while the heat coming in stays the same, that going out is steadily decreasing as our world hangs on to more and more of it.

“It is this growing imbalance – rather than just emissions – that most accurately tracks global heating and how quickly our planet will continue to heat up in the decades to come. This is because natural feedbacks are now coming into play that are driving up the temperature more rapidly than 20 years ago.

“The latest research suggests we will cross the 1.5C limit permanently in 2028, and with the planet now heating at an extraordinary rate of 0.4C a decade, we can expect to smash through 2C in the late 2030s.

“The widely publicised idea that we are still on track for 2.6-2.8C by the end of the century now seems wildly optimistic, if not downright impossible.”

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sarcozona
4 days ago
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Looks like we’re going to do degrowth the hard way
Epiphyte City
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Canada's budget fuels new nuclear power with billions but bypasses faster renewables

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Budget 2026 earmarks more than $6.5 billion for nuclear sector investment, but critics flag wind, solar and batteries as a quicker, cheaper path to meet surging electricity demand.
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sarcozona
5 days ago
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California Just Voted for Single-Payer Wildfire Insurance

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Few political wonks outside of California were likely paying much attention to the Golden State on Tuesday night, as Democrats’ anticipated blue wave crested. But the state did have one close, consequential race on the ballot: insurance commissioner. On Friday, Bernie Sanders-endorsed progressive Jane Kim won the race to lead the California Department of Insurance, which oversees the state’s $452 billion insurance market.

Kim declared victory over the more moderate State Senator Ben Allen, who was backed by the California Democratic Party, after reaching a nearly six-point lead on Friday. In a brief speech before supporters, Kim said Allen called to congratulate her that morning. (A spokesman for the Allen campaign confirmed the call to The Orange County Register.) Kim ran on a proposal for a state-run, single-payer insurance program that would cover homeowners against wildfire damage — though the plan would ultimately need approval from both the California legislature and Governor-elect Xavier Becerra.

The idea is that homeowners would automatically receive public coverage for wildfire-related losses, with payouts capped at roughly what it costs to rebuild a typical California home. Policyholders would keep their regular private insurance for other risks such as theft, burst pipes, or an ordinary kitchen fire. Kim says Californians wouldn’t pay more overall, since the money for the program would come from the share of premiums that already goes toward wildfire coverage, though each household’s bill would partly depend on its own wildfire risk.

“It would be nonprofit, and so any excess capital would stay in the state of California and would be used to drive down risk,” Kim told my colleague Matthew Zeitlin a few weeks ago. “That’s the most important piece about this actually, is that it would create another revenue stream for mitigation.”

The insurance commissioner job has taken on an increasing sense of urgency as wildfires — intensified by climate change — continue ripping through communities in California. Mounting losses from hotter, drier conditions combined with decades of new construction in the wildland-urban interface have squeezed insurers’ profits, leading many to drop policyholders in high-risk areas or simply stop writing new policies in the state altogether.

California’s homeowners insurance premiums climbed 84% between December 2020 and March of this year, according to Stanford researchers. Meanwhile, a growing number of residents have been pushed onto the state’s FAIR Plan, which my colleague Matthew described as “the barebones insurer of last resort.” The share of California’s single-family homes covered by the plan has nearly tripled over that same period, from under 2% to about 5%, as homeowners in even low- and moderate-risk wildfire areas increasingly find themselves with few alternatives.

The insurance crunch has become yet another front in California’s broader affordability crisis, alongside persistently high housing, electricity, and gasoline costs. Kim’s victory suggests frustrated voters are increasingly willing to support more radical solutions that once seemed politically out of reach. And while Kim doesn’t have a background in the insurance industry, she’s no stranger to public office. The former civil rights attorney served on the San Francisco Board of Supervisors from 2011 to 2019 before becoming a regional director for Sanders’ 2020 presidential campaign.

But throughout her run for the Insurance office, critics have continually questioned how, exactly, her plan would work. No state has attempted a public disaster insurance program like this before; critics argue there’s no relevant model to work off of, no white paper laying out the details, and no price tag attached to the idea. Kim herself acknowledges that there’s plenty of uncertainty surrounding the plan. “This is a concept and a proposal, and could look quite different by the time it works its way through the process,” she told Matthew. In other words, the program that eventually emerges from negotiations with lawmakers — if one does — could end up looking considerably different from what Kim campaigned on.

Her opponent, Allen, who chairs the state senate’s Energy, Utilities and Communications Committee, argued that creating a public wildfire insurance program would impose a significant financial burden on the state. The California Earthquake Authority, an agency that sells earthquake insurance and administers the state’s Wildfire Fund, examined the potential costs of such a program this spring, estimating it would require roughly $25 billion upfront to have a 75% chance of staying solvent for 20 years. But Kim points out in her policy brief that buying reinsurance — essentially insurance for the insurer — could cut that to about $6 billion.

Allen, on the other hand, pitched a series of reforms to the existing market, including speeding up rate reviews, rewarding homeowners and communities for wildfire mitigation, expanding financing for home-hardening projects, and discouraging development in high-risk areas.

Voters opted instead for the insurance revolution. But Kim argues that her plan isn’t totally without precedent. On the campaign trail, she frequently pointed to New Zealand, where the government’s Natural Hazards Commission provides homeowners with public coverage for disasters including earthquakes, landslides, volcanic eruptions, and tsunamis — though notably not ordinary wildfires. And while France and Spain also operate state-backed disaster insurance programs, these don’t cover wildfires either, a far more common occurrence in California than the comparably rare disasters these programs were built around abroad.

Ultimately, Kim’s ambitious plan will require a champion in the legislature to go anywhere. But in the meantime, there are other issues she could get to work on. On the campaign trail, she said she wants to push insurers to fund a disaster mitigation program run by the Department of Insurance, require companies selling auto policies in a region to also offer homeowners coverage there, and impose minimum loss ratios compelling home insurers to pay at least 65% of premiums in claims and auto insurers at least 70%. It’s unclear, however, whether Kim can implement either of the latter two proposals without new legislation.

Kim will also immediately face the question of what to do with outgoing Insurance Commissioner Ricardo Lara’s Sustainable Insurance Strategy reform package. Designed to entice insurers back to California, these new rules allow companies to set premiums using forward-looking risk models rather than relying on historical losses, and to pass a portion of their rising reinsurance costs onto policyholders. In exchange, insurers are required to write more policies in wildfire-prone areas.

Kim has criticized this approach, arguing that insurers have exploited loopholes to raise premiums on lower-risk customers while continuing to underserve high-risk communities, all without doing enough to address the underlying factors driving wildfire risk.

That leaves Kim in a tricky situation. Until she is able to secure legislative backing for some version of her proposed public insurance program, she’ll have to decide whether to scrap or simply build on the existing reforms. She hasn’t yet laid out any plan for doing so. But whatever direction she takes could ultimately reshape California’s insurance market well before a new state insurer gets off the ground.

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sarcozona
5 days ago
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This really needs to be paired with land use policy
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