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Rush-Hour Exhaust May Be Triggering Tomorrow’s Migraine

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migraine headache

(Credit: Andrea Piacquadio from Pexels)

  • A 23-year study of over 7,000 migraine patients found that traffic-related air pollution and sunlight intensity were associated with higher odds of emergency migraine visits the following day.
  • Hot, dry summer weeks roughly doubled the migraine risk linked to nitrogen dioxide spikes; cold, humid winter weeks nearly quadrupled the risk tied to fine airborne particles.
  • Months of accumulated pollution exposure were linked to increased overall migraine activity, suggesting that dirty air may raise the brain’s baseline vulnerability over time.
  • Researchers say the findings could eventually support migraine prediction tools that use real-time air quality and weather data to help patients prepare for high-risk days.

For the roughly one billion people worldwide who live with migraines, the question “What triggered this?” is a constant source of frustration. Many sufferers have long suspected that weather and air quality play a role in their attacks, but solid scientific evidence has been hard to come by. Now, a large-scale study spanning more than two decades offers some of the strongest population-level support for those suspicions.

Moreover, it reveals one of the most notable findings in recent migraine research: the air people breathe and the weather outside may be working together in season-specific combinations to push vulnerable brains past their tipping point.

Researchers in Israel tracked over 7,000 migraine patients across 23 years and found that spikes in nitrogen dioxide, a common traffic-related pollutant, along with increases in sunlight intensity (measured as solar radiation), were associated with a higher risk of emergency migraine visits the very next day, though the study cannot prove cause and effect. What stood out was what happened when those daily pollution spikes collided with certain weekly weather patterns. During summer weeks marked by extreme heat and low humidity, the effect of nitrogen dioxide on migraine risk roughly doubled. During cold, humid winter weeks, the risk tied to fine airborne particles nearly quadrupled.

Published in the journal Neurology, the research proposes a “layered model” for understanding how the environment influences migraine. Rather than pointing to a single trigger, it frames short-term pollution spikes as the match, while the broader weather pattern of the surrounding week acts as the kindling.

Researchers drew from the Negev Migraine Cohort, a database of patients identified through medical records from Clalit Health Services and Soroka University Medical Center in Be’er Sheva, a city of roughly 220,000 in the arid northern Negev desert. Patients qualified if they were adults aged 18 or older with a migraine diagnosis or a prescription for triptans, a class of medication used to treat acute migraine attacks. Daily air pollution and weather data came from a dense network of fixed monitoring stations; each patient was assigned exposure values based on the nearest station to their home.

A key strength of the design was that researchers compared each patient to themselves, examining the environmental conditions on the day before a migraine emergency visit versus conditions on similar days when that person did not seek care. Because each person served as their own control, fixed personal factors like genetics, sex, and chronic health conditions were automatically accounted for.

Among the 7,032 patients, about 77% were female, with an average age of roughly 47 years. Nearly a third had at least one emergency migraine-related health care visit during the study period, producing a total of 24,608 such events.

Air pollution and seasonal weather patterns may work together to trigger migraines, a major 23-year study of 7,000 patients finds. (Image generated by StudyFinds)

When researchers examined conditions in the days before an emergency visit, nitrogen dioxide exposure one day prior stood out. People were 41% more likely to seek emergency care at their peak pollution exposure compared to their lowest, a figure that reflects each person’s individual exposure range over the full study period rather than typical day-to-day changes. Sunlight intensity the day before was tied to 23% higher odds.

Fine airborne particles, tiny specks often produced by combustion or dust, did not show a significant short-term trigger effect on their own. Over longer time frames, however, they mattered. Higher fine particle levels in the preceding three-month window were linked to about a 9% increase in triptan use; nitrogen dioxide showed a similar roughly 10% increase. Day-to-day pollution spikes appeared to act as immediate triggers, while months of accumulated exposure seemed to ramp up overall migraine activity, suggesting two processes that may operate on different timescales.

Researchers also examined how weekly weather patterns changed the impact of daily pollution spikes, dividing weeks into extreme categories by temperature and humidity and measuring how those conditions altered the relationship between daily pollution and emergency visits.

During hot, dry summer weeks, nitrogen dioxide’s effect was dramatically amplified. Cold, humid winter weeks intensified the effect of fine airborne particles to an even greater degree. Researchers noted that an abrupt weather shift, such as a hot day during an otherwise cold and humid week, may cause a larger physical disruption than the same temperature on a day that fits the surrounding pattern.

Sunlight intensity emerged as a significant and independent trigger, a factor the authors noted has rarely been examined within a broader environmental framework. Exploratory analyses added another wrinkle: the effects of nitrogen dioxide and temperature were more pronounced among men than women, a counterintuitive result given that migraines are far more common in women.

For migraine patients, the practical takeaway is validating. Forecasted high-risk exposure periods could guide preventive action, from limiting outdoor activity and using air filtration to starting short-term preventive medications before a bad stretch arrives. If the layered model holds up, it could eventually be built into migraine prediction apps that incorporate real-time air quality and weather data.

Migraines often strike without warning and leave patients scrambling for answers. This research points toward a future where at least some of those answers arrive in advance, written in the day’s air quality forecast and the week’s weather report. As the researchers concluded, their findings support moving migraine management “from a reactive treatment approach to a proactive, risk-based, and time-sensitive intervention.”

Disclaimer: This article is based on peer-reviewed research published in an academic journal and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute medical advice. Readers with health concerns should consult a qualified healthcare provider.

The study relied on emergency health care encounters as its primary outcome, meaning it captured only the most clinically severe migraine episodes. Migraines managed at home were not included, likely leading to an underestimation of total migraine activity. Exposure was assigned based on fixed monitoring stations rather than individual-level measurements, and the study could not account for personal behaviors such as time spent indoors, use of air conditioning or air filtration, occupational setting, or daily mobility. Migraine patients may intentionally avoid outdoor activity during perceived high-risk conditions, which could further reduce measured associations. Triptan dispensation data were available only for 46.7% of patients and measured in 90-day intervals, limiting temporal precision. Data on preventive migraine therapies, including CGRP monoclonal antibodies, were not consistently available in the electronic medical records. Pollutants and lagged exposures were highly correlated, so the odds ratios reported do not represent fully independent tests. Finally, the study was conducted in a single city with a specific arid climate, which may limit generalizability to other geographic regions.

The study was supported by the Ministry of Innovation, Science and Technology, Israel (grant number: 1001591849; proposal no. 5604, 2022). The article processing charge was funded by the authors. Authors Ido Peles, Lena Novack, Michal Gordon, Batia Sarov, and Victor Novack reported no disclosures relevant to the manuscript. Gal Ifergane received consulting fees and honoraria from Teva, Novartis, Eli Lilly, Pfizer, and Abbvie, and received research support from Teva and Pfizer.

Title: Acute Environmental Triggers and Intermediate-Term Modulators of Emergency Migraine-Related Health Care Encounters | Authors: Ido Peles, Lena Novack, Michal Gordon, Batia Sarov, Victor Novack, and Gal Ifergane | Affiliations: Faculty of Health Sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev; Clinical Research Center, Soroka University Medical Center; School of Public Health and Negev Environmental Health Research Institute, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev; Internal Medicine Division, Soroka University Medical Center; Department of Neurology, Brain Medicine Division, Soroka University Medical Center, all in Be’er Sheva, Israel. | Journal: Neurology, Volume 106, Number 9, May 12, 2026 | DOI: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000214936 | Received: September 17, 2025. Accepted: February 17, 2026. Handling editor was Associate Editor Rebecca Burch, MD.

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sarcozona
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The left is cheering for leaders they don’t really believe in

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It is strange to see progressive voters rooting so wholeheartedly for Prime Minister Mark Carney and Hungary's Péter Magyar, leaders who, let’s face it, lean pretty heavily to the right.
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sarcozona
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“In just over one year as prime minister, he has eliminated consumer-based carbon pricing, jettisoned many other Trudeau climate policies, signed an MOU with Alberta for another oil pipeline, adopted tougher bail and sentencing measures, made deep cuts to the civil service and jacked up health care costs for refugees. The day after his byelection victories, Carney announced an almost five-month pause of the fuel excise tax to give voters a break at the gas pumps. That’s a $2.4 billion crowd pleaser that is certain to grow greenhouse gas pollution.”
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Gardens as Emotional and Psychological Support Spaces – The Orkney News

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Private gardens played a vital role in supporting people’s well‑being during the UK’s first Covid‑19 lockdown, when access to public green spaces was significantly restricted.

Researchers from Aberdeen University analysed thousands of posts on Twitter (now X) to understand how people used and talked about their gardens during the Covid-19 crisis.

In the Greater London study area, mentions of garden use increased more than fivefold compared with the previous year, with users far more likely to describe their gardens as places for socialising, relaxation and leisure. References to mental well‑being also rose sharply—from around 4% of posts before lockdown to approximately 20% during lockdown.

a rose fully openedA rose in Edwin Heath’s garden. Image credit Mike Robertson

The research team highlighted how private gardens became important everyday sanctuaries that helped people cope with social isolation, stress and restricted mobility. National surveys conducted at the same time showed a marked decline in mental well‑being across the UK, underscoring the role that access to nature played in people’s resilience during the crisis.

A separate report found that around 82% of UK residents with access to a private garden used it at least weekly during the first lockdown, illustrating the significance of these spaces for day‑to‑day life.

Dr Robert Feller, who carried out the study as part of his PhD in the School of Biological Sciences, said:

profile pic of Robert Feller

“The findings are timely given ongoing policy discussions about the role of nature in supporting public health.

“Using social media posts shared during the first lockdown, this study captures vivid snapshots of daily life: people working outdoors, chatting with family, gardening, watching birds, or simply stepping outside to clear their head after a stressful day.

“Together, these insights reveal the wide range of ways people used their gardens—and the emotional and psychological support these spaces provided.

“Initiatives such as Scotland’s Green Health Partnerships promote the use of natural environments to enhance physical and mental well‑being, while the RHS State of Gardening Report 2025 showed that 77% of gardeners say gardening benefits their mental health. Our research adds further evidence that private gardens can act as crucial everyday spaces for well‑being.

“The study also raises the issue of unequal access to private outdoor space, which may have contributed to disparities in people’s lockdown experiences. Going forward, recognising the value of gardens —including their contribution to mental well-being—could help inform future urban planning, housing design, and public health strategies aimed at strengthening community resilience and improving people’s connection with nature in cities.”

Click on this link to access, Private garden uses and associated mental well-being benefits during the first UK Covid-19 lockdown – a social media investigation, published in PLOSOne

flowers looking up on a sunny day to catch the rays of the sun
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sarcozona
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Carney paused the gas tax to help Canadians. Some say it helps the wrong ones

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Canadian consumers and businesses are feeling the impacts of oil price shocks caused by the US-Israeli war on Iran. But while a pause of the excise fuel tax does offer some relief, it will do so disproportionately for big spenders and leave those with lower incomes to keep struggling.
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sarcozona
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A deadly bacterial disease is returning, doctors warn, as vaccination rates fall

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A scar that runs along the base of Dr. Lara Johnson’s neck serves as a permanent reminder of the devastating effects of a vaccine-preventable disease.

When Johnson was 4 years old, she caught a dangerous, potentially deadly bacterial infection: Haemophilus influenzae type b, commonly called Hib.

The bacteria attacked her epiglottis, the piece of cartilage that covers the windpipe when eating so food doesn’t get into the lungs. Her airway was closing up and she couldn’t swallow.

“I had a fever and felt like I was choking,” recalls Johnson. “I thought I needed to throw up.” She was taken to Covenant Children’s Hospital in Lubbock, Texas, where she now serves as chief medical officer, for an emergency tracheostomy. Doctors had to cut through her neck and into her windpipe so she could breathe. Antibiotics treated her infection, the plastic airway was removed and she recovered.

It was 1980. A Hib vaccine wasn’t available until seven years later.

Prior to the vaccine, about 20,000 children in the United States — mostly babies and toddlers — developed severe forms of Hib every year, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Many children were left with permanent brain damage. About 1,000 children died each year.

After vaccinations began, the number of Hib infections dropped to fewer than 50 a year. Many doctors who’ve trained in the past 40 years have never seen a case.

Now, parents who haven’t experienced the frightening effects of the highly contagious and fast-moving infection are increasingly opting out of vaccinating their kids against Hib. Last week, the CDC reported that the percentage of babies who got the full series of Hib shots fell slightly from 2019 to 2021, from 78.8% to 77.6%.

Doctors like Johnson, who a year ago was treating children hospitalized with measles during the West Texas outbreak, are sounding the alarm on Hib, fearing it could be the next vaccine-preventable disease to make a comeback.

“Measles is the beginning,” said Utah’s state epidemiologist, Dr. Leisha Nolen. The state is in the middle of an accelerating measles outbreak, with 559 cases as of Tuesday.

As more people stop vaccinating children against diseases, Hib “is something that we might see soon,” Nolen said. “It’s really tragic to think we’re going to have to go back to having emergency rooms filled with little babies who have this highly, highly deadly and dangerous disease.”

A ‘changing world of medicine’

The CDC does track Hib cases, but the numbers can lag for a year or more because states don’t report cases quickly as they would during acute outbreaks like flu or measles.

As of March 21, the CDC had logged eight cases so far this year: two each in Ohio and New York, plus one case each in Kansas, North Carolina and Tennessee.

Conversations with pediatricians suggest additional Hib cases are occurring and causing severe illness.

Dr. Kathryn Edwards, a vaccine safety expert and professor of pediatrics at Vanderbilt University Medical Center in Nashville, Tennessee, said her colleagues recently treated two cases of Hib-related meningitis. Previously, Vanderbilt hadn’t had such a case for “a number of years,” she said.

Dr. Eehab Kenawy, a pediatrician in Panama City, Florida, said that in December, the local hospital’s intensive care unit treated two young children with Hib who were visiting the area from other states. One was a 2-year-old, he said. The other was a 4-month-old who died. “Both were unvaccinated,” he said.

Kenawy didn’t personally treat either child but was on call at the time the patients were there. “I’d never seen a case of Hib for years and years. Now I’m hearing about it.”

The possibility that Hib could make a comeback means that doctors have to start thinking differently — and possibly more aggressively — when a young, unvaccinated patient comes in with what looks like a typical bacterial infection.

“Now I’m not just thinking ‘strep throat, ear infection, upper respiratory infection.’ We have to start thinking about these things as a differential diagnosis in our workup,” Kenawy said. “It puts us in a situation where we may have to do more close observation, possibly more admissions, maybe some unnecessary workup at times. It’s the changing world of medicine.”

What is Hib?

Despite the name, haemophilus influenzae bacteria don’t cause the flu that circulates every winter. They’re bacteria that can live in noses and throats without necessarily causing trouble. Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) is one of several types of the bacteria.

Even people who aren’t sick can spread Hib to others through coughs and sneezes. Sometimes the bacteria cause problems that are relatively easy to treat, like ear infections. They can also cause serious, invasive infections in the lungs, blood stream and joints, as well as the epiglottis like in Johnson’s situation.

It’s Hib’s ability to cause inflammation of the brain and spinal cord — meningitis — that still frightens doctors who remember what it was like treating kids before the vaccine was available. Doctors diagnosed it by doing a lumbar puncture, or spinal tap, to analyze their cerebrospinal fluid.

“When I trained between 1977 and 1980, I would do two to three spinal taps a night,” said Dr. Paul Offit, a pediatrician and director of the Vaccine Education Center at the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia. Hib was a leading cause of bacterial meningitis in kids under age 5 at the time. “Now pediatric residents in our hospital don’t do spinal taps, which tells you the power of vaccines.”

The CDC recommends three to four Hib shots (depending on which brand they get) for all kids under age 5. Studies have shown the full series is at least 93% effective in preventing the bacterial illness.

It’s not just Hib vaccines that are on the decline. A 2025 NBC News investigation with Stanford University found that childhood vaccination rates overall have fallen in at least 77% of U.S. counties and jurisdictions since 2019.

The number of parents hesitant about vaccines and medicine in general has risen in recent years.

“You’re always going to see people who will ‘no’ to anything, but it’s increasing,” said Dr. Rana Alissa, president of the Florida chapter of the American Academy of Pediatrics. “Now we’re almost seeing a free fall.”

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has fueled anti-vaccine sentiments further since becoming health and human services secretary. He’s downplayed measles outbreaks, even after two young girls died last year in Texas. And he led the overhaul of the childhood vaccine schedule — a move that was recently blocked by a federal judge.

Doctors are desperate to undo the damage so that vaccine-preventable diseases remain in the past as much as possible.

“The last night I was a pediatric resident, a child came in with Hib and promptly died by the next day,” said Vanderbilt’s Edwards, whose residency was in the 1970s. “I didn’t work for 50 years to have everything destroyed by one man.”

Ashlee Dahlberg and her son, Liam, who died from bacterial meningitis caused by a Hib infection last April. Courtesy of Ashlee Dahlberg

It’s been almost a year since Ashlee Dahlberg lost her 8-year-old son, Liam, to Hib. On April 24 last year, Liam came home from school complaining of a headache. She said she gave him some ibuprofen, which perked him up temporarily.

When he woke up for school the next day, she said, Liam had spiked a 103 degree fever and “seemed off.”

“He was dizzy and couldn’t stand,” she said. “He was very delirious but he was still able to answer questions correctly.” Doctors at the hospital near their home in Lowell, Indiana, ran tests that suggested Liam might have meningitis and transferred the boy about an hour north to a larger hospital in Chicago.

Liam needed to be sedated so that doctors could do a lumbar puncture for a clear diagnosis. Testing revealed Liam’s body had been invaded by Hib and that it had turned into bacterial meningitis.

By April 26, Dahlberg said, MRI scans showed that her son’s brain had swollen so much that the damage was irreversible. They took him off life support two days later.

Liam and his two sisters had been vaccinated. But his immune system was susceptible to illnesses like Hib, Dahlberg said, because he’d been on an inhaled steroid to treat asthma. She is speaking out about her family’s loss to encourage other families to vaccinate their children to protect kids like Liam — as well as his younger sister who also has asthma.

“What I would really love for other people to understand is that there are people out there who are like my son, who have weakened immune systems,” Dahlberg said. “What may be a cold for your child is a death sentence or a hospitalization for another.”

“I don’t want my youngest to follow in the same footsteps with her health issues that Liam did,” she said. “I would not be able to survive the loss of another child.”

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Critical Atlantic current significantly more likely to collapse than thought | Oceans | The Guardian

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The critical Atlantic current system appears significantly more likely to collapse than previously thought after new research found that climate models predicting the biggest slowdown are the most realistic. Scientists called the new finding “very concerning” as a collapse would have catastrophic consequences for Europe, Africa and the Americas.

The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (Amoc) is a major part of the global climate system and was already known to be at its weakest for 1,600 years as a result of the climate crisis. Scientists spotted warning signs of a tipping point in 2021 and know that the Amoc has collapsed in the Earth’s past.

Climate scientists use dozens of different computer models to assess the future climate. However, for the complex Amoc system, these produce widely varying results, ranging from some that indicate no further slowdown by 2100 to those suggesting a huge deceleration of about 65%, even when carbon emissions from fossil fuel burning are gradually cut to net zero.

The research combined real-world ocean observations with the models to determine the most reliable, and this hugely reduced the spread of uncertainty. They found an estimated slowdown of 42% to 58% in 2100, a level almost certain to end in collapse.

The Amoc is a major part of the global climate system and brings sun-warmed tropical water to Europe and the Arctic, where it cools and sinks to form a deep return current. A collapse would shift the tropical rainfall belt on which many millions of people rely to grow their food, plunge western Europe into extreme cold winters and summer droughts, and add 50-100cm to already rising sea levels around the Atlantic.

Dr Valentin Portmann, at the Inria Centre de recherche Bordeaux Sud-Ouest in France and who led the new research, said: “We found that the Amoc is going to decline more than expected compared to the average of all climate models. This means we have an Amoc that is closer to a tipping point.”

Prof Stefan Rahmstorf, at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany, said: “This is an important and very concerning result. It shows that the ‘pessimistic’ models, which show a strong weakening of the Amoc by 2100, are, unfortunately, the realistic ones, in that they agree better with observational data.”

He added: “I now am increasingly worried that we may well pass that Amoc shutdown tipping point, where it becomes inevitable, in the middle of this century, which is quite close.”

Rahmstorf, who has studied the Amoc for 35 years, has said a collapse must be avoided “at all costs”. “I argued this when we thought the chance of an Amoc shutdown was maybe 5%, and even then we were saying that risk is too high, given the massive impacts. Now it looks like it’s more than 50%. The most dramatic and drastic climate changes we see in the last 100,000 years of Earth history have been when the Amoc switched to a different state.”

The Amoc is slowing because air temperatures are rising rapidly in the Arctic because of global heating. That means the ocean cools more slowly there. Warmer water is less dense and therefore sinks into the depths more slowly. This slowing allows more rainfall to accumulate in the salty surface waters, also making it less dense, and further slowing the sinking and forming an Amoc feedback loop.

The Amoc system is highly complex and subject to random natural variations, making precise predictions impossible. However, a major weakening is now expected by scientists and that alone could have serious impacts in the decades to come.

The new research, published in the journal Science Advances, explored four different ways of using real-world observations to assess the models. They found a method called ridge regression, which had been little used in climate science before now, provided the best results.

The Amoc is difficult to model because it is governed by subtle differences in water density caused by salinity changes over the entire Atlantic. The reduction in uncertainty in the new analysis results from identifying the models that better reflect surface salinity in the south Atlantic, which scientists already knew was important. This makes the work “very credible”, said Rahmstorf.

Rahmstorf said Amoc slowdown in 2100 may be even greater than in the new, pessimistic assessment. This is because the computer models do not include the meltwater from the Greenland ice cap that is also freshening the ocean waters: “That is one additional factor that means the reality is probably still worse.”

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