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Facing hard wartime choices, Ukraine puts spotlight on men abroad who are absent from fight | CBC News

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Ukraine is facing hard choices as it decides who to call up to the fight against an all-out Russian invasion that has lasted more than two years.

Men as young as 25 can now be drafted, down from age 27 previously. This week, the government said military-age Ukrainian men — with limited exceptions — cannot have their passports renewed outside Ukraine and consular services won't be available to them in the weeks ahead.

"Staying abroad does not relieve a citizen of his or her duties to the homeland," said Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba, underlining Kyiv's position on citizens' obligations to their country.

Ukraine is already estimated to have roughly one million people in uniform. But after such prolonged fighting with Russia, there is need to find fresh recruits to ensure Kyiv does not lose the ongoing battle.

"This is ... a short-term need that must be fulfilled," said Khrystyna Holynska, a California-based assistant policy researcher at the RAND Corporation think-tank.

WATCH | What U.S. aid can do for Ukraine: 

U.S. President Joe Biden has approved a $61 billion military aid package for Ukraine. Ukrainian Ambassador to Canada Yuliya Kovaliv says this is a very important step in her country's battle with Russia and it should be followed by other allies.

If this can't be met, Holynska said there may be no point in discussing longer-term needs for the state.

"Ukraine's existence as a country is at stake," said Holynska, who holds a PhD in political science from Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv.

And the longer the war goes on, the more people that will be needed to carry on the fight — a reality that is playing into some tensions over those who have been able to avoid the front lines so far.

"Volunteers seem to have almost run out," Ukrainian journalist Andriy Kulykov, the chairman of Hromadske Radio, said via email, quoting a Ukrainian soldier who recently spoke to his media organization.

Outside the war zone

Reaction to Kyiv's consular-service pullback for military-age men outside the country has ranged from upset to shrugged shoulders.

Anatoly Nezgoduk, a 21-year-old Ukrainian studying abroad in Canada, did not see reason to criticize what Kyiv is doing.

"I understand very well that there is a war in our country, so I can't call this move weird, illegal or incorrect," he told Reuters. "In a way, this distances me from Ukraine's official representation abroad."

Kulykov, the Hromadske Radio journalist, said Ukrainians understand there are legitimate reasons why some people are exempt from mobilization — such as those looking after relatives with disabilities.

"Those who do not have a legitimate excuse are viewed by many as cowards and traitors," Kulykov said.

"Then again, there are quite a lot of people in Ukraine who have the 'No one wants to get killed' attitude, and they may be envious of these men's safety but do not condemn them."

Viktor Kovalenko served in the Ukrainian military a decade ago and remembers what it was like to see others shirk a call to duty, while he was taking part.

"It was painful for me," said Kovalenko, a former journalist who now lives in the United States after spending his first 45 years in Ukraine, where he was born.

Kovalenko said he saw friends and colleagues avoid military service, leaving him feeling "alone." Some of these same peers later admitted to having ignored conscription notices sent their way, he said.

In his estimation, when a portion of society is "indifferent" to serious national threats, it's a serious problem.

"Who will defend in a case of aggression?" Kovalenko said.

Delayed aid

Ukraine had been waiting for urgently needed military aid, which U.S. legislators finally approved this week.

As a result, the U.S. will now speed a $1-billion US military package — including ammunition for air defences, rocket systems and anti-tank weapons — to Ukraine.

The U.S. believes Ukraine can prevail over Russia, although as U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan put it, "there is no silver bullet in this conflict," despite the provision of various weapons, including long-range missiles.

Giorgi Revishvili, an analyst and author of the Russia Analyzed newsletter, said Ukraine was left trying to cope with ammunition shortages while it waited for the U.S. aid to come through.

He said the delay had an effect on the battlefield — both directly and indirectly.

"It ... affected the Ukrainians' fighting spirit and fighting force," said Revishvili, a Fulbright scholar at the Bush School of Government and Public Service at Texas A&M University.

"Because if you don't have munitions, [having] only bravery and courage will not help you defend your homeland."

The mobilization issue has not gone unnoticed in Russia, where the state news agency TASS has frequently mentioned Ukraine's related legislation in recent days.

"Every sensitive issue regarding war in Ukraine ... Russia will try to exploit," said Revishvili.

Reading the room

Several observers saw Kyiv's consular and passport actions as being rooted in domestic political considerations.

"My personal feeling is that the authorities are responding to the mood in the country," said Hromadske Radio's Kulykov.

Ukrainians are fighting an opponent with a "huge advantage in numbers" that reminds them that some people have avoided the fight by being outside the country, he said.

He's skeptical these moves will generate many new conscripts.

"The opinion seems to prevail (and I share it) that an absolute majority of those who felt the urge (or deemed it feasible) to come back and join the fight either in the army or in supporting the economy, have done so," said Kulykov.

Yet Holynska, the RAND Corporation expert, said the Ukrainian government may also be trying to discourage efforts to leave the country.

"I do think that part of the calculus ... was to deter more people from leaving Ukraine and from avoiding the draft," said Holynska.

WATCH | What mobilization could do for Ukraine

Get the latest on CBCNews.ca, the CBC News App, and CBC News Network for breaking news and analysis.

This could also include discourage people aiding others in avoiding conscription by demonstrating Ukraine has legal mechanisms to address the issue, she said.

But Kyiv's approach could also have consequences on how enthusiastic Ukrainians living abroad are about returning home.

"Actions like this ... are not incentivizing them to keep ties with Ukraine," Holynska said.

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sarcozona
1 hour ago
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Forcing people to fight and die for a country is actually horrible
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The digital tyranny of needing an account for everything

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It’s the nightmare travel scenario. The bookings are made, the suitcases packed, and you realize on the day of your travel that someone in the family has an expired passport. In this case, it was my youngest daughter, on the day of our Easter trip to Ireland. After going through the seven stages of grief in about an hour, we ended up splitting up our traveling party. I went to Ireland with my oldest child, while the youngest stayed home with her Mom.

Let me warn you that this post will take a series of turns. We start with me screwing up my daughters passport renewal, and somehow end with a critique of the American administrative state. Stick with it. If you are more of a visual learner, I mapped out what to expect.

As soon as I returned to the US, I set about renewing her passport. To renew a kids passport, both parents must be physically present at a passport office, or more realistically, a post office. If not, its a lot more paperwork to reassure the government that one parent is not surreptitiously trying to kidnap the kids. So, three people together then. It took a couple of weeks to get an appointment at a nearby post office or a good deal longer if we did not do it during school hours. I prefilled the form and printed it out, went to CVS to get a passport photo, grabbed the birth certificate, our IDs, and her old passport. The post office was fairly busy, but they kept our appointment time, and courteously went through the paperwork with us. [Update: we got the passport back in 12 days with the expedited process - which is really impressive!]

One snag: their copier was broken, and they needed to keep copies of the documentation. So, could we go somewhere and get copies for them? Sure. We drove to a nearby library, got the paper copies, drove back to the post office and dropped them off.

One lesson here is that the US federal government has relatively few bricks-and-mortar options where it can engage with the public. The post office is really the only game in town, with more than 30,000 locations (down from about 40,000 at its peak in the late 1990s). Social Security, which is probably the next most physically represented non-military federal agency across the US, has about 1,200 offices.

This is not new. The US Postal Service has been the tangible physical representation of the emergence and westward expansion of the American state in the 19th century. When the Social Security program was being created in the 1930s, the government relied on local post offices to quickly enroll tens of millions of applicants.

The USPS accepted 7.5 million passport applications in 2022, and it’s efforts are concentrated on the trickier ones — kids and first time passports that require more documentation than renewals. It is great that we can rely on post offices. Not only are they plentiful and easy to find, they are relatively neutral administrative spaces that people do not have a strong aversion to, as some people might with welfare offices or police stations. That physical space helps to ensure the government can reach people in a way that private digital actors cannot. For example people who are having problems with facial ID verification to sign up for login.gov can go to a post office to be verified, while those who rely on private ID verification systems have no such back-up.

Anyway, lets do the time count for the passport renewal process:

  • Photos: 45 minutes x 2 people

  • Trip to post office, library: 2 hours x 3 people

  • Prefilling and printing online form, pulling together documentation: 30 minutes X 1 person

Total: 8 hours

This experience reminded me that my Irish passport was expiring, and needed to be renewed. Which took me about 20-25 minutes all in, done entirely online. And half of that time was getting my kid to take a photo on my phone, and figuring out how to save that photo as a jpeg. There was no form to fill in, and no documentation to provide. I clicked through a series of intuitive questions, uploaded the photo (which was rightsized to the appropriate dimensions automatically), entered my old passport information, my address, and paid. It was extraordinarily easy.

One nice touch with renewing my Irish passport is that I did not need to set up an account just for this process, which would have meant creating a login and a password.

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One of the tyrannies of modern life is the rise of the mandatory accounts, apps or portals. If you need to buy a ticket to an event, communicate with your doctor, or apply for a job, you need to set up an online account. If you are really lucky, there will be a recaptcha at the end of the process, where you unsuccessfully try to identify a motorcycle, or make sense of a scrawl of letters.

The day after I renewed my passport, I created an appointment for one of my kids to get a haircut, which required a login with a password. I tried calling the location, but no-one picked up. And why should they, when the answering machine encourages people to make an online appointment? When I tried to set up an account, my sense of deja vu was confirmed when I was told there was already an account under my email. So I had to reset my password.

I spent only slightly less time setting up my kids haircut appointment than I did renewing my passport. Something is wrong here.

The espoused logic for all of these online accounts is convenience. But whose convenience? How much time are we wasting with an endless array of these interactions, many poorly designed? The mandatory account primarily serves the needs of the company, or more precisely, its desire to collect your information, and monetize it somehow. To send a survey, to pitch new products or reminders, to sell your data to others.

Digital interactions can really add convenience. Mandatory accounts, especially for infrequently used services, do not. Instead, they shift burdens onto users. In some cases there might be legitimate security needs. But lets face it, no-one is going to steal my haircut appointment. Because people tend to use the same username and password across sites, your patterns are likely to be revealed when one of those sites gets hacked, reducing your security. We’ve all read the articles telling us to not repeat user names and passwords, but again, this puts the burden on users when for many of these sites, a login is not truly necessary.

One solution is fewer logins for more interactions, e.g. using login.gov for federal services has saved people lots of time. Or you could use your google or facebook logins when offered that option, though many are understandably reluctant to give tech giants more of their personal information. I use password managers, but that does not remove the time spent setting up the account, and they don’t work perfectly when sites have odd password requirements.

Another solution is to not require accounts with logins and passwords! For social safety net services, the best practice is to not mandate accounts unless necessary. Code for America’s field guide for safety net service design says: “Requiring account registration is a key accessibility barrier for many clients. Applications should have a prominent pathway to applying without completing registration first.”

Passports, unlike haircut appointments, seem like a big deal, since they deal with identity. Isn’t this a case where an account would be a good idea? Not really. Once I get the passport, I won’t need to interact with this service for another decade. The interaction requires me to reveal information (a current image of myself, personal payment information, and prior passport information) that validates my identity and the government can check against its own data. This is an example of shifting burdens away from citizens because a government is able to use administrative data to benefit the user, rather than to monetize that data.

Thank you for reading Can We Still Govern?This post is public so feel free to share it.

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Its not unreasonable to ask, if Ireland (and other countries) can do online passport renewal, why can’t the US?

The good news is that virtual passport renewals should be available sometime in 2024. In December 2021, in an executive order aimed at improving customer experience in government, President Biden ordered that “The Secretary of State shall design and deliver a new online passport renewal experience that does not require any physical documents to be mailed.”

The need for virtual passports reflects a massive increase in demand. The US has gone from issuing less than 5 million passports per year in 1994 to 24 million in 2023. Some of this increased demand emerged from Americans wanting to travel more, but also from post 9/11 policies, like requiring passports to travel to Mexico and Canada. There are currently about 160 million passports in circulation. Shifting more passport interactions to a digital space should be a win-win for both citizens and the government. And so, the goal of virtual passport renewal processes can be traced back as far as the Obama administration, but with seemingly little progress until recently.

How is that going? In 2022, the State Department piloted a virtual passport renewal system. About 500,000 people used the system, which was suspended in March of 2023, with the explanation that the system would be revised and improved based on customer feedback. This is completely normal. It is generally a bad idea to roll out a digital product all at once. The IRS DirectFile is a pilot for this precise reason. The pilot worked pretty well for the public, although digital photos proved to be a problem. Another problem is that the digital system dramatically increased work for the government employees processing the passports. This is an instance where moving to digital was not a win-win, and in fact created inefficiencies because the back-end workflow processes proved to be more complex than with the traditional paper applications.

Multiple contractors have worked on digital renewals using different platforms. One person I spoke with said the project has run into every IT bungle possible: the contractors are not nimble, unable to adapt to changing demands, and focus on maximizing profits. Government overseers lack the capacity to manage the contractors, and procurement processes make it easier to restart the process with a new contractor rather than fix the problems with an existing system.

A few months ago a US Digital Services team were tasked with fixing the problems and bringing a virtual renewal option back this year remains a presidential goal. But its hard not to think of this as a basic capacity problem. Providing appropriate identity to allow people to travel and work is a core government function. The fact that three administrations have not been able to bring this to fruition, even as other countries have, reflects a governance failure.

The head of state of a country like the US ought to be able to say “lets make passport renewal processes digital” and see it done after some reasonable amount of time, say in a year or so. This only seems unrealistic if you know something about how American public sector tech processes work, where it might take a year just to select a contractor. We could blame the US government addiction to contracting out, but this will not change anytime soon. If governments are going to contract for tech we need a) government technologists with the capacity and political support to hold contractors accountable, and b) procurement processes that are adaptable to meet the evolving need of projects. There is more of those technologists in government than before, but not in every department, and the procurement processes remain an obstacle. (Jen Pahlka’s Recoding America is excellent on this point).

All of this is to say, if the Biden administration finally gets digital passport renewal done, it deserves some credit. Because the track record here is not good.

As for my daughter, she took the disappointment of not being able to see her cousins in Ireland with impressive stoicism, though did note she would hold it over me for the rest of my life.

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sarcozona
13 hours ago
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Man dies after 613-day COVID-19 infection that underwent 50 mutations

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sarcozona
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This poor man
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★ Amy Star @ Celeste mod% ★ (@AmyZenunim@unstable.systems)

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sarcozona
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Separated Bike Lanes Means Safer Streets, Study Says — Streetsblog USA

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Cities that build protected lanes for cyclists end up with safer roads for people on bikes and people in cars and on foot, a new study of 12 large metropolises revealed Wednesday.

Researchers at the University of Colorado Denver and the University of New Mexico discovered cities with protected and separated bike lanes had 44 percent fewer deaths than the average city.

“Protected separated bike facilities was one of our biggest factors associated with lower fatalities and lower injuries for all road users,” study co-author Wesley Marshall, a University of Colorado Denver engineering professor, told Streetsblog. “If you’re going out of your way to make your city safe for a broader range of cyclists ... we’re finding that it ends up being a safer city for everyone.”

Marshall and his team of researchers analyzed 17,000 fatalities and 77,000 severe injuries in cities including Denver, Portland, Dallas, Seattle, San Francisco, Kansas City and Chicago between 2000 and 2012. All had experienced an increase in cycling as they built more infrastructure. (Update: All of those cities also have varying rates of gentrification, which needed to be factored into the results, specifically because of "the safety disparities associated with gentrification." Researchers said safety improvements in largely gentrified areas "suggest equity issues and the need for future research.")

Researchers assumed that having more cyclists on the street was spurring drivers to slow down — a relic of a 2017 study that found that cities with high cycling rates had fewer traffic crashes. But it turned out that wasn’t the case.

Instead, researchers found that bike infrastructure, particularly physical barriers that separate bikes from speeding cars as opposed to shared or painted lanes, significantly lowered fatalities in cities that installed them.

After analyzing traffic crash data over a 13-year period in areas with separated bike lanes on city streets, researches estimated that having a protected bike facility in a city would result in 44 percent fewer deaths and 50 percent fewer serous injuries than an average city.

In Portland, where the population of bike commuters increased from 1.2 to 7 percent between 1990 and 2015, fatality rates fell 75 percent in the same period. Fatal crash rates dropped 60.6 percent in Seattle, 49.3 percent in San Francisco, 40.3 percent in Denver, and 38.2 percent in Chicago over the same period as cities added more protected and separated lanes as part of their Vision Zero plans.

“Bike facilities end up slowing cars down, even when a driver hits another driver, it’s less likely to be a fatality because it’s happening at a slower speed,” Marshall said.

Perhaps even more important: Researchers found that painted bike lanes provided no improvement on road safety. And their review earlier this year of shared roadways — where bike symbols are painted in the middle of a lane — revealed that it was actually safer to have no bike markings at all.

“We found they’re worse than nothing. You’re better off doing nothing,” Marshall said. “It gives people a false sense of security that’s a bike lane. It’s just a sign telling cyclists it might just be there.”

Not all protected bike lanes provide the same level of security for cyclists and drivers. In Denver, for instance, some protected lanes have plastic bollards that are interspersed along the roadway, allowing cars and trucks to park in the bike path and forcing cyclists to swerve into the street.

“When you have them designed like that, even if it’s a protected lane, that might create a more dangerous situation because cyclists are merging in and out of the road versus places with foot-wide concrete planters,” Marshall added.

New York was not included in this longitudinal study because the high number of cyclists and lanes would have overwhelmed their models, but will be a focus of a future study, Marshall said. New York's Department of Transportation consistently touts how its protected bike lanes improve safety for all road users — but often denies neighborhoods the full protection of such infrastructure when some car owners complain of lost parking.

Sometimes, it's not always "safety first." 

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sarcozona
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McNadoMD: "If bird flu starts transmittin…" - the Octodon

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