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What the Logan Circle Shooter Told Me - The Washington Sun

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Matt Lambert, a former emergency room physician and health care technology executive, shot five people and then himself on Thursday in D.C., apparently motivated by a bitter, ongoing and all-consuming legal dispute with the Metropole Condominium Association and the building’s property manager.

The back-and-forth had been dragging on for more than a year, draining his retirement savings and fueling a deepening desperation.

Just under a year ago, I spoke to him about it. Lambert reached out to me in late 2025 when I was a reporter at The Washington Post, pitching a story about how his million-dollar Logan Circle penthouse had been rendered unlivable. I continued reporting the story into the new year, but the article was abandoned when I was laid off from the Post in early 2026.

In a series of interviews in late November and December 2025 — including two visits inside his gutted penthouse at the Metropole on 15th Street Northwest — Lambert described how a dispute over severe water leaks and black mold had turned into “psychological warfare” between himself, building manager James Stuart, the management company EJF Real Estate Services and their insurance defense attorneys.

“It’s affected every part of my life — my sleep, dietary habits,” Lambert told me in December. “I pride myself on my resilience, and I’ve been kind of surprised at how much it has been affected.”

On Thursday, D.C. police said, Lambert shot and killed Stuart at the VIDA Fitness Center located on the ground floor of the building in a targeted attack just before 8 a.m., then shot four more people in the vicinity and barricaded himself in his apartment before shooting and killing himself. Of the other four people who were shot, one was in critical condition, while three others had non-life-threatening injuries.

While at no point in the reporting process did Lambert give any indication he would resort to violence, he did frequently use intense, combative language — and at one point, his frustration bled into what at the time felt like dark humor. During a December visit with a neighbor, Lambert criticized the condo association’s legal strategy by making an offhand reference to Luigi Mangione, the suspect in the 2024 shooting death of UnitedHealthcare’s CEO who is accused of inscribing “delay, deny, depose” on his ammunition.

“What are they called? Delay, deny, defend … the Luigi three?” Lambert said.

Lambert, who bought the $1.1 million top-floor unit in 2016, had recently put the penthouse on the market with plans to relocate to New York. But he said the conflict trapped him in D.C., beginning after a building facade rehabilitation that ran from April 2023 to August 2024. While the project was underway, he said, water began running down the interior of his windows and wetting his floors after rainstorms — with cracks, peeling paint and visible mold spreading across his walls once crews finished work on his corner in August 2024. When he hired independent testers in October 2024 to show Stuart and contractors evidence of widespread moisture and airborne mold, Lambert said, the meeting ended abruptly.

According to Lambert, when his attorney asked Stuart whether he could smell the mold, Stuart replied that the apartment “smelled like cologne,” walked out and turned the matter over to the building’s lawyers.

Because my reporting on the dispute was not completed at the time, I was never able to present Lambert’s allegations to Stuart or EJF Real Estate Services to get their perspective. The Washington Sun was unable to reach the management firm earlier Thursday.

In November 2024, Lambert said, he paid $12,000 out of his own pocket to strip his apartment down to the metal studs and subflooring, uncovering floor-to-ceiling black mold. When the building’s engineers blamed the moisture on Lambert’s own appliances, he said he went six months without using his shower, heat or dryer — instead showering downstairs at VIDA Fitness, and heating his unit solely with his fireplace — to try to prove them wrong.

In March 2025, Lambert sued the Metropole Condominium Association in D.C. Superior Court, accusing the association of negligence, breach of fiduciary duty and nuisance over what he alleged were botched renovations and rebuffed repair requests. The association denied responsibility but lost a bid to have the case thrown out last year, court records show. When leaks persisted after rainstorms, Lambert said, the building’s defense counsel pivoted to blaming humidity from VIDA Fitness’s industrial dryer vents, which ran behind his unit, and moved to pull the gym into the lawsuit, delaying the case by another 90 days.

By December 2025, Lambert, who was 54 at the time, said he had spent nearly $200,000 on legal and engineering fees — borrowing against his retirement savings to fund the litigation — while living with only a couch and a desk inside his stripped-down apartment.

Lambert said in an interview at the time that he was preparing to have his attorney pull every email exchanged between him and Stuart for court discovery, accusing Stuart of giving conflicting answers to residents and fabricating maintenance history.

Inside the Metropole last year, Lambert said the standoff had made him “radioactive.” He repurposed a whiteboard he normally used for work into a timeline tracking the building management’s slights. Feeling stonewalled by Stuart and the condo board, he launched an anonymous social media troll account called “Of Mice and Mold” to target Stuart and EJF over unfinished building repairs. He placed flyers on streetlights and trash cans around Logan Circle and hosted open houses in his gutted unit to show neighbors his engineering reports.

He compared the building’s gossip and factions to being trapped in petty drama.

“High school never ends. Michael, we are stuck in high school,” Lambert told me. “And it would be humorous if it wasn’t significant investment at risk, and really spending a lot of money that I’ve saved my entire life that I wanted to spend for retirement — I’m spending it right now with no end in sight. I’ve become increasingly aggressive in my messaging, not only in the building, but also with that Twitter page.”

A Thursday morning post on the X account said, “My manifesto is an engineering report,” and contained screenshots of documents describing how problems with the facade and balcony had caused extensive leaks in Lambert’s unit.

Standing in his deconstructed living room in December, Lambert pointed to a copy of Sun Tzu’s “The Art of War” sitting in his unit.

“I go through every emotion every day on this. … Do I keep fighting? Do I not fight? And ‘The Art of War’ talks about, you know, the battle’s won before it’s ever fought. It says if you’re going to commit, don’t half commit, fully commit.”

Lambert said part of the reason he was willing to fight was that he was a single man with no children.

“They’re trying to make me quit. They’re trying to make me go broke,” Lambert said of the legal fight. “If I come out of this and I don’t get a satisfactory outcome, I won’t have a bunch of money, but I can live with that better than rolling over. … They don’t have my permission to treat me this way.”

Raised in Appalachia by a single mother who died of cancer during his first year of medical school at Marshall University, Lambert worked as an ER doctor for 20 years before pivoting to health care IT. He moved to D.C. around 2010, later serving as chief medical information officer for major hospital systems in Seattle and New York City and working remotely as a chief medical officer for a Los Angeles-based health data company.

During one December visit inside Lambert’s gutted unit, a fellow resident who had also been waiting months for leak repairs complained that when he called the management company, “you never get a call back from James.”

Lambert immediately chimed in that he knew Stuart’s daily routine at the VIDA Fitness downstairs.

“If you want to see the building manager,” Lambert said, “he comes in the gym about 8 o’clock.”

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sarcozona
44 minutes ago
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Stuart doesn’t sound like a person who will be missed
Epiphyte City
acdha
2 days ago
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Wooooow…
Washington, DC
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How the Calorie Ruined Everything

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How the Calorie Ruined Everything

I have never thought of food without thinking of the calorie. By the time I could read, it was there, on the back of every box and jar at the grocery store, alerting me to how many of these things I was about to put in my body. I never really knew what a calorie was, though as I got older and in line with many women my age, I internalized the idea that I should eat as few as possible. But I never thought deeper about it, or about how it became the omnipresent measure of all foodstuff.

According to historian Dr. Nina Mackert, interviewed below, it didn’t have to be this way. In fact, it probably shouldn’t have. The calorie, one way to measure the energy value of food, was not a particularly good measure of nutritive value, satiety, pleasure, or many other things we need and want from our food. But the calorie “was politically versatile and therefore successful in serving divergent political agendas and arguments,” she writes in her new book, Inventing The Calorie: The Politics of Food in the Early 20th-Century US.

The calorie as it pertains to food (rather than just a thermodynamic unit of energy) was developed in the 1880s, at the onset of the Progressive Era, a time of mass social and political upheaval. People were looking for order amid the chaos, writes Mackert. And so, as a “scientific unit for measuring and comparing food needs, diets, and bodies,” the calorie represented a way to quantify something as previously mysterious as the body (though whether it actually does that is another question). In an era obsessed with classification, whether that was timekeeping or attempting to categorize race, the calorie was primed to be adopted. And abused.

It was breathtaking to read how the calorie, a scientific measurement, was used to justify just about every existing prejudiced argument, some of which directly contradicted each other. A scientist seemed to pull the idea that adult women need fewer calories than adult men out of thin air, and yet I have seen that assumption persist to this day. Capitalists used the calorie to argue “that hunger and malnutrition were not caused by poverty under capitalism but rather by poor spending choices,” and that workers should instead learn what foods are calorie-rich and cheap. It was used to uphold white supremacy, with backward arguments that people of color needed fewer calories because they just didn’t work very hard. And then, as the economy boomed and consumers navigated culinary abundance rather than lack, the calorie did a 180. It was used to encourage the white middle class to embrace calorie counting and “moderation,” to differentiate themselves from the working poor and people of color, who were assumed to not be able to control their appetites. 

It also created new prejudices. The idea of the calorie seeded rampant fatphobia in America, as larger bodies began to be considered not just a happenstance of genetics, but “a sign of immoral, inefficient, and irresponsible consumption.” Health began to be calculated around “ideal” averages of weights, and the knowledge that reducing calories could reduce weight (however unreliable that association is) made being anything but slim a matter of personal choice — the wrong one.

As I read Mackert’s descriptions of how the calorie was used to legitimize anxieties that white men were “falling behind” at the turn of the 20th century, and how it was used to portray fatness as a symptom of laziness, I thought of every protein-maxxing bro that’s ever appeared on Joe Rogan’s podcast. It feels like we are again in a time of great social and political change, so is there any wonder that we are seeing white men embrace macro counting, protein gains, and other forms of vaguely scientific-sounding diet advice? Or that tech bros are constantly in pursuit of “optimization” of the human body? Or that, with the relentless marketing of GLP-1s for weight loss, we are regularly being told that thinness is as easy as taking a pill, and choosing not to do so is a personal failing? We are still looking for order amid the chaos, and over 100 years later, the calorie, and many things like it, promises that we’ll find it.

Here, Mackert, a professor of North American history and public history at the University of Hamburg, breaks down just how the calorie embedded itself into our everyday lives, and why despite constant criticism, it has endured.

How the Calorie Ruined Everything
A chart showing the relative cost of different foods based on how many calories they have, in an article advising housewives on calculating the "cheapest efficient body fuel." American Food Journal Vol. 15, 1920.

Jaya Saxena: What first got you interested in looking into the calorie and its place in modern society? 

Dr. Nina Mackert: I became interested in the history of body fat. As a scholar of body history, I was coming from a position of huge unease about modern fat shaming. I looked into the history of the Fat Man's Club, which was a group of businessmen in Gilded Age America, and they centered their weight. They did these weigh-ins at the beginning of every meeting, and the goal was to be the heaviest person. Newspapers started to observe these groups with growing ridicule, so I looked at these groups as an example of increasing unease about fat at the turn of the 20th century. But I felt there was something missing on the measures that emerged at the time. Not just BMI, which became important very much later, but I felt someone needed to write a history of the calorie, because it really is a key to understanding modern society and modern fat shaming.

Calories are just so ingrained in many people's lives as the main way to relate to nutrition and food. How did people think about the relationship between food and the body and energy before we had the language of the calorie? 

First off, it was not about weight loss before. People did not strive to become thin. Thinness was not yet an aesthetic or moral goal. It was connected to poverty, to hunger, to starvation. But also, bodies were not considered something under individual control. They were given by divine providence, or by fate, and there was nothing that you could control more to your liking. There was a mixture of different bodily ideals, and the absence of this individual imperative to change the body according to society’s liking. It was nothing that could be measured on a supra individual level. And there were not bodily standards; not even the idea of ideal weight was born. 

That was such a fascinating shift from talking about what is healthy for one individual person to the idea of an average ideal weight that suddenly you’re not living up to. 

One of my early projects with this book was to make clear that measuring food in calories was not inherent; it was a decision based on a very specific industrial logic at the end of the 19th century, when industrializing societies heralded efficiency and productivity. Modern nation-states were confronted with the problem of feeding the industrial masses, and they had a certain configuration of problems. Because of the scientific discourse on thermodynamics at the time, nutrition scientists decided that energy was a productive thing to measure. And the book shows how it became an allegedly self-evident and natural thing for us to measure calories. 

Whenever a political culture foregrounds individual responsibility for your fate, then it was a time when body norms were particularly aggressive and toxic

You point out how this supposedly scientific measure was used to justify all of these existing political and social views and prejudices, even when the evidence produced refuted those claims, or even when there's contradictory evidence. People seem to really be able to mold the calories to justify what they already wanted to justify. Why was this measure so easy to manipulate?

First of all, I want to say that it is a scientific measurement. And I think this is important. Contrary to pseudoscientific racism, for instance, there were all these experiments, and there were solid chemists doing things. Many natural scientists would agree that natural science produces ideas that are inherently fragile, and inherently tied to social and political problems. So it's not that I would say this is unscientific and political, but that it's scientific and political. I think this is really evident in these different efforts to set scientific standards and nutritional standards according to race and gender, for instance. 

One of the most interesting things to me while doing this research was that the current critique of the calorie that most of us are familiar with was already prevalent during the late 19th and early 20th century. That is actually impossible to mold bodies or health according to food energy units, on the basis of counting calories, et cetera. I'm really interested in how this mélange of scientific ideas, of political circumstances, political problems, created this very lasting unit that obviously sits on a very fragile basis. 

You write about how the calorie was used at this pivotal point in the labor movement, by the capitalist managerial class to position workers more as consumers. And this idea of consumer citizenship, where your diet, your health, and your ability to live are more about your buying habits than how much money you make. I'm curious to hear a little more about how the calorie allowed us to view others and ourselves as primarily consumers?

The calorie is about consumption, essentially. Its thermodynamic base locates the source of productivity of anything in its consumption. The idea of calories is that they provide energy for you to do something through consumption. According to the logic of the calorie, more consumption means more productivity. Even nowadays in Germany, there are always these discussions about how much money do people need? And how could we cut welfare spending? And there are right-wing politicians explaining how people can eat more cheaply by telling them about calorie counts. It can also be used in some initiatives for people to say they need to meet certain calorie needs; it holds the potential to ask for more. But frankly, it's been used most of the time to teach people how to need less. 

We have some very similar stuff happening here. RFK Jr. recently was telling people they should just eat cheaper cuts of organ meat. 

This large focus on consumption inherent in calorie counting is actually one of the main reasons why it became so successful in a consumer society, because consumer society is so fraught, so pervaded by notions of good and bad consumption, by notions of good and bad people, et cetera. Modern consumer society requires both self-restraint and consumption. It also measures status by consumption, and you're asked to consume, with pleasure, whatever the food industry throws at you. Many of the diet manuals in the early 20th century already say you can eat anything; you can eat butter, you can eat pie, you can eat cake, et cetera. But you’re also constantly required to exercise self-control. 

How the Calorie Ruined Everything
A calorie count sign at Costco. Jaya Saxena/Ravenous

Calculations of how many calories people need vary wildly throughout its history. And now we have this 2,000 a day standard recommendation. Where did that number come from? 

I don't actually know. Having researched the basis for these historical figures, which were already arbitrary, I can say that this number is an average for an average person, and this average person is obviously non-existent. You cannot homogenize all people by one average. But public health experts and nutrition experts and social reformers felt the need to explain dietary needs to the people in a profoundly simple manner. That's also where the 100-calorie portion came from; this idea that people needed to be taught how to eat properly. So experts came up with these very general simplifications that are so general that they might not be of use to anyone. 

My interest in this project came also from observing myself. I'm not exempt from all of this. I go into the supermarket and look at the back of products where the nutrition facts are. And it's like, how do these numbers gain their power to suggest to us the truth of any particular food? 

What you wrote about the Progressive Era, and the drive to view the body as this machine that can be optimized, sounded so familiar. It’s felt like recently there really has been this push for body optimization, whether it’s with protein, peptides, adaptogens, or whatever. Is there something in the air that is bringing this language of optimization back? 

I do see parallels between the early 20th century and the early 21st century. But let me start with the differences. If we look back on the Progressive Era, among many reformers there was this well-intended idea of alleviating poverty and the bad consequences of capitalism. They were being paternalistic and racist in the course, but it was, I think, a different project than neoliberal health politics. If you look at the course of the 20th century, you can see that whenever a political culture foregrounds individual responsibility for your fate, then it was a time when body norms were particularly aggressive and toxic. This changed a little bit after the Progressive Era, during the Great Depression, and with the New Deal, when the focus was more on collective solutions. But you can see it coming back in the 1970s, even before [Ronald] Reagan, with the idea that people were responsible for their health, that people's individual responsibility needed to be foregrounded in public health. 

We are also at a very particular moment in history right now. These movements can connect so well to neoliberal politics because neoliberal politics has been teaching us for decades that there's a survival of the fittest, and that there is a survival of the most responsible, and of the most able, and of those who can optimize themselves best. In the end, that has an authoritarian effect, because they naturalize a social hierarchy of the able, and these autocratic movements can easily pick up on that. I think that's the reason why we see this very fatphobic backlash right now.

What do you think about calorie counts on menus? 

As a historian, I am interested in them, but I don't think we need to count calories to talk about health. I think they are a technology of governing that seeks to nudge people to make the right choices, but not because they have a choice, but because these choices are circumscribed in a very particular way, and calories kind of suppose or suggest us in a very particular direction. 

Is there anything the calorie is useful for for a consumer?

I'm not a nutrition scientist, and I don’t have an agenda to teach people how to eat right, because I am interested in how societies talk about eating right, and how these norms of eating right work. So, I'm not the person to give advice about how to eat. I think the calorie has been important in creating the basis of modern food aid, and in modern efforts of alleviating poverty and hunger. But this also came with a certain price, so I would not say that there's any way of counting calories that serves solely great goals in an ethical way. I’d rather get rid of the calorie. 

This interview has been edited for length and clarity.

Ravenous is an independent food culture publication. Subscribe today to read everything we have to offer.

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sarcozona
55 minutes ago
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Medieval art used fat bodies to represent gluttony all the time. Like yes there were changes in how we think about fatness and eating in the 19th & 20th centuries, but the general association and its moral valence isn’t new
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rocketo
11 hours ago
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Chronic Pain Costs Canada More than Cancer. But There’s a Fix | The Tyee

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British Columbia needs to catch up on both low-barrier and specialty care for chronic pain, according to Maria Hudspith, CEO of Pain BC and former co-chair of the Canadian Pain Task Force.

In 2021 the Canadian Pain Task Force published an action plan with six overarching goals and 150 recommendations to overhaul how the country treated pain.

In 2019 Health Canada estimated chronic pain costs the country between $38.2 billion and $40.3 billion in health-care costs and lost productivity in the workforce.

It’s the greatest cause of disability in Canada and the primary reason people leave the workforce. It also dwarfs the economic impacts of cancer and heart disease, Hudspith said.

The number of Canadians living with chronic pain will most likely increase as the population ages.

Five years after the action plan was published, there has been a lot of progress on 120 of the 150 recommendations, Hudspith said. Nine provinces have introduced pain strategies, invested in new pain services, expanded access to pain care and improved the education of health-care professionals when it comes to pain.

In B.C. the Provincial Health Services Authority created Pain Care BC and has improved the whole “triangle” of pain care, Hudspith said.

Hudspith segments the triangle into four parts — kind of like older iterations of the food pyramid. At the bottom, most people will be supported by free, low-barrier community and online supports, such as peer support, group and coaching programs. Those who need further care take a step up the triangle of support to meet with primary care providers. If people need further support, they are elevated to interdisciplinary or multidisciplinary pain clinics. At the very top of the triangle are specialty pain clinics run by a health authority, which help care for the patients with the most complex and challenging care needs.

Low-barrier supports can focus on pain neuroscience education, supported self-management and other strategies The Tyee recently spoke with pain researcher Cynthia Thomson about.

Specialty pain clinics would focus on specialized treatments such as spinal cord stimulators, which help override pain signals using a small electric current.

B.C. was the first province to introduce supported self-management, pain neuroscience education, peer support and low-barrier community programs, Hudspith said.

But now the province is lagging in investments for low-barrier community and online supports, and specialist care, she added.

Patients can live with pain for 20 years before they are diagnosed with chronic pain and wait months or years to access specialists, she said.

“We’re far behind provinces like Quebec and Ontario, where they have really invested in that top part of the triangle,” Hudspith said. “We’re very, very far behind in that regard.”

That’s a huge problem, because one in five Canadians will live with chronic pain in their lifetime that is so severe it disrupts their daily life, she said.

This includes kids suffering from juvenile arthritis, chronic migraines or injuries from sports, and adults and seniors suffering after car crashes, cancer and arthritis.

Chronic pain is defined as pain that persists after tissue has healed, or pain that lasts more than three months.

Pain is biopsychosocial, meaning the experience of pain is influenced by a variety of factors, including stress, sleep and “sandwiches” — in other words, how hungry a person is.

“It is really not just a physical thing,” Hudspith said. It’s real and is a chronic condition, she added.

And it’s often treated dismissively. People suffering from chronic pain are told they’re lazy, just trying to get off work on disability, or drug seeking, Hudspith said.

“People are disbelieved, invalidated, blamed and even criminalized,” she said. “If you’re living with arthritis or if you have cancer, you’re not also living with invalidation, disbelief, blame and essentially being told you’re crazy or have a character flaw. But people living with chronic pain are dealing with that burden on top of the experience of pain.”

A 20-year toxic relationship with pain

Keith Meldrum is all too familiar with that experience.

Forty years ago as a teenager, he drank alcohol and drove off the road, down an embankment. He was wearing only the waist strap seatbelt, which ended up around his stomach and tore him up internally as the car rolled.

He had emergency surgery and spent a week and a half in the intensive care unit. His body healed, but the pain persisted.

For 20 years after the accident, Meldrum had a “really unhealthy relationship” with his chronic pain.

“I was very, very adamant as a young adult that I was not going to let pain define me,” Meldrum told The Tyee. “I kept fighting it and pushing it back. All I did was create this sort of feedback loop of stress and anger that perpetuated the pain.”

When Meldrum sought medical help, he said doctors would tell him his pain wasn’t real or that there was nothing wrong with him. There was a real reluctance from doctors in the ’80s and ’90s to think of pain outside of tissue damage, he added.

Meldrum said he ended up in a pretty dark place and would wish he hadn’t lived through the accident.

And then, 15 years after his accident, he met Dr. David Hunt, who worked at the St. Paul’s Hospital Complex Pain Centre.

That interaction was “the first time somebody truly validated my pain as something real,” Meldrum said. “It didn’t change my relationship [with pain] overnight, but that was the spark that lit the fire for me to be able to find a different path.”

Meldrum ended up receiving a spinal cord stimulator. The stimulator reduced his pain by 25 to 30 per cent, which created “space” for him to realize he was exhausted with being angry, he said.

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Pain Is in the Brain. And That’s a Good Thing
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He began thinking about what he could do, rather than thinking about what he couldn’t do.

“Since then, my quality of life has certainly improved. I’ve regained a lot more function because I stopped fighting against it,” he said.

How people think about chronic pain changes the way it feels, according to an Australian educational website. Another way to think of that: the brain can be retrained to make pain signals gentler.

The sooner people can start learning about the complex phenomenon of pain and access resources and education on what they can do to help themselves, the better, Meldrum said.

This is part of supported self-management, which can be enough for people to manage their pain. For others, it can work in concert with community supports and health-care supports such as physiotherapy or medication.

Canada’s complex relationship with pain

Canada’s relationship with pain has changed dramatically over the past few decades.

In the early 2000s, opioid prescription was widespread across North America. In a 2018 lawsuit, B.C., on behalf of Canada, accused pharmaceutical companies of downplaying risks and potential addictive qualities of opioids when marketing them to doctors. In 2023 Purdue Pharma, which sold OxyContin, settled for $150 million. The province is still pursuing the class action with “dozens” of other companies.

Canada was, and remains, one of the top opioid prescribers in the world, Hudspith said. There are a number of reasons for that, she added, including a “pill popping” culture where people believe medication will fix them; the influence of Big Pharma; and a health-care system where seeing a doctor for a couple of minutes is free but physiotherapy and psychology aren’t.

In 2015 and 2016 there was a “pendulum swing,” when doctors pulled back on prescribing opioids and highlighted how a multimodal approach was needed to treat chronic pain, Hudspith said.

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This Medical Device Is a Chronic Pain Game-Changer
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But a multimodal approach hadn’t been built out yet, so pulling back on prescribing opioids was a bit like taking away the only tool in the tool box to treat pain, she said.

In 2019 the country launched the Canadian Pain Task Force, and in 2021 it released its action plan with its 150 recommendations.

And while the country has made huge strides, people living with chronic pain still face stigma and long wait times for supports and services, she said.

The provincial and federal governments are investing heavily in megaprojects, she added, while not doing enough to recognize the high rates of chronic pain suffered by people in the trades.

Anyone who thinks they may have chronic pain can visit Pain BC’s website for information and resources, or text and call Pain BC at 1-833-261-7246. The services are free and do not require coverage under the provincial Medical Services Plan.

People don’t have to prove their pain to access resources, Hudspith added. “It’s a big tent,” and everyone is welcome.  [Tyee]

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sarcozona
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Doerkson Invited Young People to Stay. Now They Need Homes

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BC’s Conservative government should keep what works from the NDP’s policies.

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sarcozona
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Immigration hand-wringing, unsigned editorial edition

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The Globe and Mail had an unsigned editorial yesterday morning, wringing their hands about the plan for those additional 200,000 permanent residents, and the usual lament about housing and so on. Nowhere did they mention that about a quarter of these temporary residents meant for permanent status are Hong Kongers and Ukrainians who are in the country. In their insistence on wailing and gnashing their death about the supposed shell game around the numbers, they falsely blame the Trudeau government for creating a “massive mess” in the system, and nowhere do they blame the premiers for a) demanding more immigration for labour shortages, and b) then doing fuck all about housing, healthcare, or education capacity to absorb anyone. And no, Trudeau didn’t make a mess. He responded to the signals (lest anyone forget conditions post-lockdowns), and other levels of government didn’t do their jobs.

The Globe and Mail editorial ignores that these 200,000 are largely Hong Kongers and Ukrainians and can't just go home, and that it's the provinces who have abdicated their responsibilities. Again.And of course, the usual suspects ignore the same things.www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/edit…

— Dale Smith (@journodale.bsky.social) 2026-11-10T15:31:14.338Z

These people ignore reality and keep trying to turn this into an instance of "trust in the system" and "Trudeau bad" while absolutely ignoring the role of the premiers in all of this is—and let me repeat, they are responsible for housing, healthcare, education AND they *demanded* more newcomers.

— Dale Smith (@journodale.bsky.social) 2026-11-10T15:31:14.339Z

I'm just so fucking tired of the fact that the premiers remain blameless in the messes that they create. We're a federal system. Why can't our national legacy media outlets actually do their fucking jobs? This shouldn't be that hard.

— Dale Smith (@journodale.bsky.social) 2026-11-10T15:31:14.340Z

I absolutely loathe that this government uses Nigel Farage-esque "take back control" language in official immigration department releases. Meanwhile, these are the people that the Globe and Mail wring their hands about housing, and Mikal Skuterud thinks should just "outmigrate."

— Dale Smith (@journodale.bsky.social) 2026-11-10T19:44:45.435Z

To say that I have lost all patience with legacy media’s refusal to look at the facts and hold the premiers to account is an understatement. They may not be responsible for immigration levels (though they do have some input), but they are absolutely responsible for housing, healthcare, and education, and they have steadfastly refused to properly resource their systems, or do the hard work of reforms that are necessary to build more houses (especially when it comes to building new and maintaining existing social housing stock). And nobody holds them to account for these abject and ongoing failures. Nobody. And because legacy media will only both-sides everything, the provinces will cry poor, the federal government won’t push back and simply mouth some pieties about “cooperative federalism,” and the provinces get away with it again. Once again, I feel like I’m taking crazy pills.

This brings me to the plan to eliminate homelessness in ten years in the budget. I can promise you right now what’s going to happen, which is that the provinces are going to half-ass their obligations, there will be a mixed response from municipalities regarding their own obligations (such as a city like Ottawa doing as little as possible because the votes don’t come from downtown residents), and when it doesn’t work because the people responsible for the supports didn’t do their jobs, it will collapse in failure and everyone will throw up their hands and blame the federal government. We watched this play out with drug decriminalisation in BC. And when it does happen, absolutely nobody will hold the provinces to account for not doing their jobs, and I will once again be feeling like I’m taking crazy pills.

— Effin' Birds (@effinbirds.com) 2026-11-10T20:08:02.250Z

Ukraine Dispatch:

Russians pounded energy facilities in ten regions early Tuesday morning, and hit more power infrastructure in Kryvyi Riv early this morning. Renewed Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian oil refineries has reduced their capacity by thirty percent wince October.

Noteworthy:

  • The federal government has finally released details on who has been seconded to the Major Projects Office through the interchange programme.
  • In spite of new funding, the military has made cuts on soldiers attending Remembrance Day ceremonies, including who can attend unpaid.
  • Gary Ananadasangaree is signalling that he won’t entertain amendments to the (unconstitutional) lawful access bill currently in the Senate. 
  • Roland Paris calls on the Carney government to actually articulate what their principles are, as they keep touting “principled pragmatism.”
  • Colin Horgan lays out the federal government’s use of digital asbestos with inadequate rules, safeguards or supervision as Carney pushes even more adoption.

OP-ED – Canada must invest in AI now, before we miss our chance to lose all our money in the bubble crash, by Mark Carney

— The Beaverton (@thebeaverton.com) 2026-11-09T16:28:02.833Z

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sarcozona
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Epiphyte City
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The challenge of truly probabilistic programming

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Many years ago, Jouni and I wrote an unpublished paper called Fully Bayesian Computing:

A fully Bayesian computing environment calls for the possibility of defining vector and array objects that may contain both random and deterministic quantities, and syntax rules that allow treating these objects much like any variables or numeric arrays. Working within the statistical package R, we introduce a new object-oriented framework based on a new random variable data type that is implicitly represented by simulations.

A few years later we published an updated version of the paper under the title, Manipulating and summarizing posterior simulations using random variable objects. Here’s the background:

In the Bayesian paradigm, unknown quantities have probability distributions and are thus random variables. Observed values are just realizations of random variables, and constants may be thought of as random variables with point mass distributions. In mathematical notation, we deal with objects that are random variables, but in practice these objects are approximated by vectors of numbers, that is, simulations. Consequently, when programming for manipulating simulations of unknown quantities, we must write code to manipulate arrays of numeric constants.

And here’s the challenge:

Arrays of simulations are cumbersome objects to work with. Functions that work with vectors will not in general work with matrices, so special versions of the functions need to be written to accommodate matrices of simulations as arguments. For example, a scalar-valued random variable becomes a vector of simulations, and a random vector becomes a matrix of simulations. . . . The usual approach now is to use loops and vector-matrix computations to manipulate the matrix of posterior simulations. This approach is general but awkward and far from transparent . . .

As part of this effort, Jouni wrote a package in R called “rv” that allows direct manipulation of random variable objects, so for example if alpha and beta are random variables, each a vector of length J, and gamma is a scalar, then you can compute something like delta = (alpha + gamma)/beta, which would be a vector of length J. Internally, alpha, beta, and delta would be stored as S x K arrays, and gamma would be stored as an array of length S, where S is the number of simulation draws in your simulation frame, but the user would be able to work with these without having to keep track of that indexing; it would all be implicit.

The rv package was just a demonstration, but then more recently Paul Bürkner, Jonah Gabry, Matthew Kay, and Aki Vehtari implemented the idea in the “posterior” package in R. They call it rvar: The Random Variable Datatype. I still haven’t integrated rvar() into my Bayesian workflow, but I’d like to do it.

The point I want to make here is that this random variable datatype moves us closer to what I’d call “truly probabilistic programming.”

Here’s what I mean by that.

Stan (and Bugs, PyMC, etc.) are called “probabilistic programming languages,” characterized by Wikipedia as “based on the declarative specification of probabilistic models, for which inference is performed automatically.” Fair enough. In Stan, the variables defined in the parameters block, transformed parameters block, model block, and generated parameters block represent random variables with a joint density that is specified by the Stan program.

But, although this is called a probabilistic program as the term is used, it doesn’t fully feel like probabilistic programming in the sense of allowing me to grab random variables and work with them directly. I can do all that within the Stan program in the generated quantities block, but at a certain remove. Stan and other probabilistic programming languages are set up to run in batch mode: you specify a model and then the inference engine runs and spits out posterior simulations (or some other distributional summary).

To me, a truly probabilistic programming environment would allow me to interactively work with random variables, and to work with them as random variables, not as arrays of simulation draws. I want to be able to multiply two matrices without having to loop through the simulations. Part of this is about clean code, but more generally it’s about workflow. Any mathematical or graphical operations we can do on numbers, we should be able to do with random variables, with the simulations all hiding under the hood. Kind of by analogy to how we can do floating-point math on the computer without (usually) having to worry about how all these digits are being stored.

This will require tools such as rvar() and also some experience with the workflow. The payoff is . . . you could call it “better postprocessing of Bayesian simulations,” but I think that would understate the potential benefits of being able to work directl with uncertainty without that extra array dimension getting in your face at every step.

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sarcozona
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