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Global news coverage of climate change declined for the fourth straight year in 2025, even as emissions hit new highs, according to a new analysis.
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This is a little embarrassing to share, but I’d rather someone else be able to spot a dangerous scam before they fall for it. So, here goes.
One evening last month, my Apple Watch, iPhone, and Mac all lit up with a message prompting me to reset my password. This came out of nowhere; I hadn’t done anything to elicit it. I even had Lockdown Mode running on all my devices. It didn’t matter. Someone was spamming Apple’s legitimate password reset flow against my account—a technique Krebs documented back in 2024. I dismissed the prompts, but the stage was set.
What made the attack impressive was the next move: The scammers actually contacted Apple Support themselves, pretending to be me, and opened a real case claiming I’d lost my phone and needed to update my number. That generated a real case ID, and triggered real Apple emails to my inbox, properly signed, from Apple’s actual servers. These were legitimate; no filter on earth could have caught them.
Then “Alexander from Apple Support” called. He was calm, knowledgeable, and careful. His first moves were solid security advice: check your account, verify nothing’s changed, consider updating your password. He was so good that I actually thanked him for being excellent at his job.
That, of course, was when he moved into the next phase of the attack.
He texted me a link to review and cancel the “pending request.” The site, <a href="http://audit-apple.com" rel="nofollow">audit-apple.com</a>, was a pixel-perfect Apple replica, and displayed the exact case ID from the real emails I’d just received. There was even a fake chat transcript of the scammers’ actual conversation with Apple, presented back to me as evidence of the attack against my account. At the bottom of the page was a Sign in with Apple button that he told me to use.
I started poking at the page and noticed I could enter any case ID and get the same result. Nothing was being validated. It was all theater.
“This is really good,” I told Alexander. “This is obviously phishing. So tell me about the scam.”
Silence. *Click*.
Once I’d suspected what was happening, I’d started recording the call, so I was able to save a good chunk of it, which Jamie Marsland used to make a video about the encounter. You can hear for yourself exactly how convincing “Alexander” was.
So let my almost-disaster help you avoid your own. Remember these rules.
- Don’t approve any password-reset prompts—those are the first part of the attack. Do not pass Go, just head directly to your Apple ID settings.
- Apple will never call you first.
- When you get an email from Apple—or, really, anyone telling you to complete a digital security measure—check the URL they’re trying to send you to. Apple Support lives on <a href="http://apple.com" rel="nofollow">apple.com</a> and <a href="http://getsupport.apple.com" rel="nofollow">getsupport.apple.com</a>, nowhere else.
After all, the best protection is knowing what this looks like before it happens.
Thank you to Peter Rubin and Jamie Marsland for putting this all together.
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ALVARADO, Texas (AP) — A Palestinian woman who was the last person still in immigration detention after the Trump administration’s 2025 crackdown on pro-Palestinian activism on college campuses was freed Monday after a year in custody.
Leqaa Kordia, a 33-year-old from the West Bank who has lived in New Jersey since 2016, had been held in a U.S. immigration detention center in Texas since last March. Her detention was linked, in part, to her participation in a protest outside Columbia University in 2024.
“I don’t know what to say. I’m free! I’m free! Finally, after one year,” Kordia, with a beaming smile, told reporters after emerging from the detention center.
An immigration judge had ordered her released on bond three times. The government challenged the first two rulings, but Kordia was freed Monday on $100,000 bond after it did not challenge the third.
Kordia said she was looking forward to going home and hugging her mother “so hard.” But she also said she would keep fighting on behalf of people still being held at the detention center.
“There is a lot of injustice in this place,” she said. “There is a lot of people that shouldn’t be here the first place.”
Kordia was among a number of people arrested last year after the Trump administration began using its immigration enforcement powers on noncitizens who had criticized or protested Israel’s military actions in Gaza, many students and scholars at American universities.
Among them was Mahmoud Khalil, a former Columbia University graduate student involved in campus protests. He spent three months detained in a Louisiana immigration jail before being freed. Rümeysa Öztürk, a Tufts University student who co-authored an op-ed criticizing her university’s response to Israel and the war, was detained for six weeks.
Others did not fight to stay — one Columbia doctoral student fled the U.S. after her visa was revoked and immigration agents showed up at her university apartment.
Arrests of activists like Khalil drew condemnation from elected officials and advocates. But Kordia was not a student or part of a group that might have provided support, so her case remained largely out of the public eye while her detention carried on.
Kordia said she joined a 2024 demonstration outside Columbia University after Israel killed scores of her relatives in Gaza, where she maintains deep personal ties. She was around 100 people arrested by city police at that protest, but the charges against her were dismissed and sealed. Information about her arrest was later given to the Trump administration by the New York City Police Department, which said it was told the records were needed as part of a money laundering investigation.
Kordia was arrested during a March 13, 2025, check-in with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement in New Jersey. She was detained immediately and flown to Prairieland Detention Center, south of Dallas.
Federal officials have accused Kordia of overstaying her visa, while scrutinizing payments she sent to relatives in the Middle East. Kordia said the money was meant to help family members suffering during the war.
Tricia McLaughlin, a spokesperson for the Department of Homeland Security, had previously criticized Kordia for what she said was “providing financial support to individuals living in nations hostile to the U.S.” A message seeking comment was sent to the department Monday evening.
An immigration judge found “overwhelming evidence” that Kordia was telling the truth about the payments.
Kordia was recently hospitalized for three days following a seizure after fainting and hitting her head at the privately run detention facility.
At a hearing Friday, Kordia’s attorneys said she had a neurological condition that had worsened while in custody, putting her at an elevated risk of seizure. They reiterated that she could stay with U.S. citizen family members and did not pose a flight risk.
The immigration judge, Tara Naslow, agreed.
“I’ve heard testimony. I’ve seen thousands of pages of evidence presented by the respondent, and very little evidence presented by the government in any of this,” Naslow said.
An attorney for the Department of Homeland Security, Anastasia Norcross, said the government opposed the release of Kordia, regardless of the bond. She did not say at the time whether it would appeal for a third time.
Kordia’s advocates cheered her release.
New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani said he asked for her release when he met with President Donald Trump last month
Texas Civil Rights Project attorney Travis Fife said they were celebrating but still had work to do.
“Leqaa going home today is the bare minimum,” Fife said in a prepared statement. “We must continue to assert the fundamental First Amendment principle that the government cannot abuse power to punish people for using their voice.”
___
Offenhartz reported from New York.
On Tuesday, March 10, a massive explosion shook the city of Beit Shemesh, just outside Jerusalem, in yet another Iranian ballistic missile attack during the ongoing war.
Rescue services scrambled to the scene in search of possible casualties, though as it turned out, the projectile had struck a forested area just outside the city, around 500 meters from homes.
On The Times of Israel’s liveblog that day, I reported that the missile had hit an open area and no injuries were caused, citing the rescue services, as well as footage that emerged showing the massive explosion caused by the missile’s warhead.
But what I thought was a seemingly minor incident during the war has turned into days of harassment and death threats against me.
The saga begins
Later Tuesday, I received an unusual email, in Hebrew, from someone named Aviv.
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“Regarding your Times of Israel report that described today’s launch as an ‘impact’ — Beit Shemesh Municipality and MDA (Magen David Adom) later corrected their reports to clarify that what fell was an interceptor fragment, not a full missile,” he claimed.
An Iranian ballistic missile that struck an open area near Beit Shemesh, March 10, 2026. (Screenshot: X; used in accordance with Clause 27a of the Copyright Law)
“I’d appreciate it if you could update your article, as in its current form it does not reflect reality. Alternatively, if you have information that it was indeed a full missile that was not intercepted, I would be glad to be corrected.”
I told Aviv that, from what I know from the Israeli military, the impact outside Beit Shemesh was indeed a missile warhead and not just fragments.
I added: “The footage also shows a massive explosion of hundreds of kilograms of explosives from the warhead. Normally, a fragment does not produce such an explosion.”
A day later, on Wednesday, I received another email, also in Hebrew, regarding the impact just outside Beit Shemesh, from someone identifying themselves as Daniel.
“Sorry for reaching out without a prior introduction, but I assume we will get to know each other well,” he wrote, in a somewhat threatening manner.
“I have an urgent request regarding the accuracy of your report on the missile attack on March 10. I would really appreciate a response if possible. There is an inaccurate report from you about the missile attack on March 10, and it’s causing a chain of errors,” Daniel’s email continued.
“If you could reply to me tonight… you would be helping me, many others, and, of course, the State of Israel. And along the way, you would gain a good source.”
It was indeed a little strange to receive the same question, about something relatively inconsequential, from two different people within a day.
But I responded, naively: “Hi Daniel, can you elaborate on what the problem is?”
He replied: “In the article and in your tweet you wrote, ‘One missile struck an open area just outside Beit Shemesh.’”
“However, it appears that this was a missile that was intercepted, and its debris and interceptor fragments fell at the scene. No security authority so far has confirmed that it was a missile that was not intercepted and fell in an open area,” he claimed.
“If you could correct this tonight, you would be doing me and many others a great favor,” Daniel added.
Why does such an inconsequential detail matter to these people, I wondered.
Half an hour later, Daniel sent me another email: “If one of you could change everything to interceptor debris, or missile fragments even tonight, it would help a lot,” he persisted.
I went to sleep without answering.
By Thursday morning, Daniel had sent me another email.
“I would appreciate an update from you as soon as possible, because in the meantime you are already being quoted in The Economist, saying that the IDF confirmed that most of the missiles on Tuesday were intercepted except for one that fell in the Beit Shemesh area,” he said, attaching a screenshot from The Economic Times, an Indian English-language business-focused news site, and not The Economist.
“I ask again, if you could handle this as soon as possible, it would help us a lot. It’s really important, if possible, still this morning,” Daniel demanded.
As I read through Daniel’s veiled threats, I received another email from an anonymous user: “Is the article about March 10 interception gonna get updated?”
Moments later, I received a message on the Discord online platform: “In regards to March 10th. Some sources are saying all the missiles were intercepted on March 10th per IDF. Is that true?”
The Polymarket connection
Meanwhile, on X, I saw a user reply to a recent tweet of mine: “There are people saying that they have received word from you that the missile strike in Beit Shemesh on March 10th was in fact intercepted, is this true or did no such interaction occur?”
Another X user responded to my post with the video showing the Iranian ballistic missile impact in Beit Shemesh with: “was there any video of the actual impact.” (Clearly, he didn’t watch the video.)
Checking those X accounts, both appeared to be involved in gambling on the Polymarket betting site.
As far as I now understand, the emails I received were intended to confirm whether or not a missile had hit Israel on March 10 in order to resolve a prediction on Polymarket.
This photo taken on March 16, 2026, shows a bet on the Polymarket site titled ‘Iran strikes Israel on…?’ (Emanuel Fabian/Times of Israel)
Polymarket is one of the largest prediction markets in the world, where users can wager their money on the likelihood of future events, using cryptocurrency, debit or credit cards, and bank transfers. However, there are accusations that the site has been plagued by manipulation and insider trading.
The event that these people had bet on was “Iran strikes Israel on…?” More than 14 million dollars had been wagered on March 10
The event that these people had bet on was “Iran strikes Israel on…?” More than 14 million dollars had been wagered on March 10.
The rules of the bet state: “This market will resolve to ‘Yes’ if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israel’s soil on the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to ‘No’.”
However, there is a clause: “Missiles or drones that are intercepted… will not be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution, regardless of whether they land on Israeli territory or cause damage.”
This screenshot taken on March 16, 2026, shows a bet on the Polymarket site titled ‘Iran strikes Israel on…?’ (Screenshot: Polymarket)
My minor report on a missile striking an open area was now in the middle of a betting war, with those who had bet “No” on an Iranian strike on Israel on March 10 demanding I change my article to ensure they would win big.
More emails arrived in my inbox.
“When will you update the article?” one was titled. The email had no text content, only an image — a screenshot of my initial interaction with Daniel.
Except it did not show my actual response to Daniel, but a fabricated message that I had not written.
“Hi Daniel, Thank you for noticing, I checked with the IDF Spokesperson and it was indeed intercepted. I sent it now for editing, it will be fixed shortly,” I supposedly wrote. (To be clear, I wrote no such thing.)
I then received a WhatsApp message from someone named Shaked: “Can I ask one question about the impact in Beit Shemesh on the 10th?”
Meanwhile, I saw a reply on X to a recent post of mine, with the same fake screenshot of my email exchange with Daniel: “There’s someone quoting that you replied to their email about making corrections to the below news article about all missile attacks being intercepted by Israel on March 10th. Is this actually true? Are we going to make this correction?”
By this point, it was clear to me why these people were asking about the missile impact, and I took to X and told the gamblers to get a better hobby.
This did not stop them.
A colleague makes contact
A few hours later, a colleague from another media outlet messaged me. He said that someone he knew asked him to ask me to change the report on the missile impact in Beit Shemesh, and that it would be “negligible” for me if I did make the change.
The journalist had no idea why his acquaintance was demanding the change to the article until I told him what I understood was going on. He then confronted the acquaintance, who admitted to placing bets on Polymarket and confirmed my theory.
Going further, the acquaintance even offered the journalist compensation, from his winnings, if he managed to convince me to change my report.
The threats escalate
After a quiet weekend, things escalated further.
Shortly after midnight between Saturday and Sunday, I started to receive threatening messages in Hebrew on WhatsApp from someone called Haim.
“You have exactly half an hour to correct your attempt at influence,” he wrote.
“Despite the fact that you received countless inquiries — you insist on leaving it that way.”
“If you do not correct this by 01:00 Israel time today, March 15, you are bringing upon yourself damage you have never imagined you would suffer,” he threatened, in a very lengthy message.
Haim also attempted to call me via WhatsApp multiple times during the night, before sending me more messages.
After you make us lose $900,000 we will invest no less than that to finish you
“You have no idea how much you’ve put yourself at risk. Today is the most significant day of your career. You have two choices: either believe that we have the capabilities, and after you make us lose $900,000 we will invest no less than that to finish you. Or end this with money in your pocket, and also earn back the life you had until now.”
After I didn’t respond, as I was asleep, Haim sent me another series of messages: “You are choosing to go to war knowing that you will lose your life as you’ve grown accustomed to it — for nothing.”
On Sunday morning, he messaged me again: “You have exactly a few hours left to fix your attempt at influencing [the market]. It would be stupid of you to ignore this.”
Haim also referred, with specific details, to my ostensible home neighborhood, my parents, and family.
“If you decide to go with your ego and not with your head, you are leaving behind dozens of wealthy people from all over the world who will know that you performed market manipulation and stole from them. They know who you are, you don’t know who they are. It took them less than 5 minutes to find out exactly where you live … how often you see your lovely parents … and exactly who your … brothers and sisters are.”
“Believe me, you don’t want to be their target. Because you will never, ever earn enough money to pay back even half of those you stole from.”
Hours later, more messages: “I am requesting a response from you in the next 10 minutes. We offered you to end this quietly with a profit in your pocket and everything disappears. But it seems you think you can stall for time.”
“You made a fatal mistake and you’d better respond to us.”
“I expect a response from you within 9 minutes from now.”
“We will not give up on sums [of money] like these.”
“One minute remains…”
The scene of an Iranian ballistic missile that struck an open area near Beit Shemesh, March 10, 2026. (Courtesy)
I then received a WhatsApp message from another number, someone posing as a lawyer called Vered. I ignored the message. Then they called me, though the person on the other end sounded awfully like a young man, and not a middle-aged female lawyer.
On the phone, the “lawyer” told me that they were contacted by a company in the United States to look into my supposed manipulation on Polymarket.
I hung up and contacted the police.
Later in the afternoon, Haim messaged me again, this time with the most explicit threat yet.
“You have 90 minutes left to update the lie. If you do this — you solve in a minute the most serious problem you have caused yourself in life. And you won’t remember me anymore in a week.”
“If you decide not to correct it, and leave the lie intact, you will discover enemies who will be willing to pay anything to make your life miserable — within the framework of the law.”
“And as far as I know, there are also some people who don’t really care about the law, and you’re going to make them lose about 50 times what you’ll ever make.”
“86 minutes left. You are the only one responsible for your life.”
The Times of Israel’s military correspondent, Emanuel Fabian, in southern Lebanon on November 21, 2024. (Chaim Goldberg/Flash90)
Giving testimony to the police
My time ran out shortly before I headed to the police station to give testimony and provide evidence. The police are now investigating.
In the early hours of Monday, as I ran to a bomb shelter amid yet another Iranian missile attack, Haim sent me another series of messages.
“You will pay the full price for your irresponsible act.”
“You have 9 more minutes to save your career. But not a stupid and disturbed child like you will take advantage of it.”
“I wish you not to fall asleep tonight and not any night. In any case, it’s not going to be too easy for you in the coming months.”
I did not respond.
Condemnation by Polymarket
Contacted by The Times of Israel later on Monday, Polymarket denounced the threats against me.
“Polymarket condemns the harassment and threats directed at Emanuel Fabian, or anyone else for that matter. This behavior violates our terms of service and has no place on our platform or anywhere else,” a spokesperson for the betting company said in a statement to ToI.
“Prediction markets depend on the integrity of independent reporting. Attempts to pressure journalists to alter their reporting undermine that integrity and undermine the markets themselves,” the spokesperson said.
The spokesperson did not address questions about whether the company has heard from the Israel Police, whether Polymarket can help identify suspects in the case, whether the platform can take measures to prevent threats or media interference, or whether Polymarket is aware of any similar incidents in the past.
In a subsequent statement, posted on X later Monday, Polymarket said it had “banned the accounts for all involved & will pass their info to the relevant authorities.”
The attempt by these gamblers to pressure me to change my reporting so that they would win their bet did not and will not succeed. But I do worry that other journalists may not be as ethical if they are promised some of the winnings
The attempt by these gamblers to pressure me to change my reporting so that they would win their bet did not and will not succeed. But I do worry that other journalists may not be as ethical if they are promised some of the winnings.
An Israeli military reservist and a civilian were indicted last month for using classified information to place bets ahead of Israel’s war with Iran in June 2025. Similarly, journalists could easily exploit their knowledge for insider trading on the platform. I dearly hope that’s not been happening, and won’t happen, in this unnerving new arena, where reality, journalism, gambling and criminality intertwine.
The mystery of why the last million or so years of glacial variability are so different to what came before just got more mysterious…
It’s easy to understand why the ice ages have such a hold on our imaginations. Putting aside the cavemen, woolly mammoths, and sabre-toothed tigers of popular culture, the scientific questions around the pacing of the glacial cycles, their magnitude, variability, and impacts are truly profound.
Despite huge strides in understanding the ice ages – from the ground-breaking work of Hayes, Imbrie and Shackleton (1974) that demonstrated the skill of the Milankovitch model in the 1970s, the paradigm-busting results from the Greenland Ice Cores in the 1990s, the discovery of the Heinrich events, etc., there remain plenty of real and abiding mysteries including:
- Why are the 100kyr cycles so strong?
- What are the details of the carbon feedbacks on glacial-interglacial cycles?
- What triggered the ice ages in the first place? (i.e. why did the impact of Milankovitch cycles get much larger over the last 2.5 million years?)
- Why didn’t humans develop agriculture in the last interglacial?
- What triggers the Dansgaard-Oeschgar oscillations?
- and… what caused the change from lower magnitude 40kyr cycles to 100kyr cycles across the Mid-Pleistocene Transition (MPT)?
We have good evidence from the deep Antarctic ice cores of the coupling between CO2 and temperature over the last 800kyrs and from ocean sediment proxies, we have reasonable estimates of the coupling between CO2 and temperature over the long cooling during the Cenozoic (the last 65 million years). But, until now, we haven’t been able to really examine that intervening period – the early Pleistocene.
Theories, of course, abound. The obvious one is that the long term declines in CO2 crossed a threshold that allowed for larger ice volumes that had more resonance with the 100kyr cycles. Another is that the early ice advances (which were more spread out but less voluminous) scraped all the soils off the rocks and that subsequent ice sheets were less mobile. I think most folks expected the data (when it arrived) to basically confirm what people expected.
But sometimes the observations don’t confirm your preconceived notions. The nice thing about science is that scientists (ideally) tend to get excited at this point (instead of, say, trying to deny the new information). So what has just happened?
Two new papers, Marks-Peterson et al. (2025) (direct link) and Shackleton et al. (2025) (direct link) in Nature this week report on analyses of very old Antarctic ice. These samples come from the “blue ice” in the Allan Hills in Antarctica where multi-million year old ice surfaces after having been deposited and transported over large distances. This is quite distinct from deep drilling in places where you hope the ice has not moved much, and while it doesn’t have the nice stratigraphy of the cores, you can sample snapshots of the atmosphere over a much longer time – in this case, almost 3 million years – albeit with coarser dating.
There are two main measurements presented. The first are the GHG concentrations in the air bubbles trapped in the ice (Fig. 1), and the second is a record of mean ocean temperature inferred from the ratio of noble gases in the air bubbles (Fig. 2).
The first and most dramatic (or rather, non-dramatic) result, is that CO2 levels appear to have barely changed (on average) over this key period – dropping only 20-30ppm over the onset period. That isn’t nothing, but it’s only about 0.45-0.7 W/m2 in forcing, and would lead to around 1ºC in global surface cooling. The CH4 levels might have been expected to fall too, but they seem to be static. [Note that this method is not sampling the glacial/interglacial variations which are apparent in the more recent records]. The second, and somewhat confounding, result is that the global ocean seems to have cooled by about 2ºC over the same time period (with the global surface temperature change would have been larger).
So we have a conundrum. The onset of NH glaciation did happen as the planet cooled (as might be expected), but the first guess for what caused that cooling (long term trends in CO2 and/or CH4) does not appear to work.
How might this be resolved?
There are always multiple potential ways out of a conundrum: subsequent analyses might find an issue with the observations, there might be a hyper-sensitivity to the small CO2 changes at this time (but why?), there might be something else driving the change (volcanism? dust aerosols?), or… what? None of these possibilities are obvious winners, and of course, they are not mutually exclusive. Eric Wolff (direct link) in his commentary seems to think that the ocean is doing the driving, but I think that might be backwards.
The funny thing is that paleo-climatologists have been wanting these old ice analyses for a long time – with the anticipation that they would help answer these questions. But they seem to be posing many more questions than they have answered.
Broader issues
One thing this shows is that scientists can’t be complacent. As we’ve seen with surprising climate events even over the last few years (2023, Antarctic sea ice, the increases in the Earth’s Energy Imbalance), the more you look at the planet (or even the universe) the more surprising things you find. Science is an active search for deeper understanding – and we are not done yet.
Final thought
At face value, these results seem to suggest that CO2 declines were not the dominant/only cause of the cooling at the onset of the ice ages, despite expectations. Some of the usual suspects are certainly going to claim (fallaciously) that this means that CO2 can’t be the cause of anything. This is obviously a stupid argument so feel free to judge anyone that makes it.
Nonetheless,…
There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy.
References
- J.D. Hays, J. Imbrie, and N.J. Shackleton, "Variations in the Earth's Orbit: Pacemaker of the Ice Ages", Science, vol. 194, pp. 1121-1132, 1976. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.194.4270.1121
- H. Heinrich, "Origin and Consequences of Cyclic Ice Rafting in the Northeast Atlantic Ocean During the Past 130,000 Years", Quaternary Research, vol. 29, pp. 142-152, 1988. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0033-5894(88)90057-9
The post The Puzzling Pleistocene first appeared on RealClimate.
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