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America is destroying itself. It’s no surprise | Stephen Marche | The Guardian

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The 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence has arrived at a moment of some embarrassment for the Republic. The United States of America, established to overthrow a mad king, has elected, 250 years later, a mad king of its very own. America is setting itself on fire at its birthday party. It always had a dramatic streak.

In 30 or 40 years, scholars of history, if they exist, will want to know how the richest country in history, with the world’s most powerful alliance network, and a scientific and research capacity fuelled by the talent of the world, chose to throw it all away.

I have been closer than most to some kind of answer. For my book The Next Civil War, I interviewed hundreds of experts, trying to fathom the underlying causes and structures of the decline. I met with extremists on the left and right. I argued that the dark dawning was coming. And yet, in some part of me, I didn’t really believe they would do it. The American self-destruction, I can only inform those future historians, is a mystery to us, too.

When did it all go wrong? Most of the researchers into political collapse that I spoke to blamed 2008, the financial crisis that crippled the dream of social mobility, but others brought up 1980, when income inequality first spiked and trust in institutions began to crater, and yet others 1876, the end of reconstruction, and those with even longer memories back to the civil war, or to the War of 1812.

But that was before Trump 2. It’s become obvious, since he took office again, that the crisis America currently faces has been there from the beginning.

From the beginning, the most intelligent Americans understood that their origin contained, within itself, the seeds of its own destruction. George Washington’s Farewell Address predicted, with startling precision, the hyperpartisanship currently ripping apart the nation he founded.

Abraham Lincoln prophesied: “If destruction be our lot, we must ourselves be its author and finisher … as a nation of freemen we must live through all time or die by suicide.” His prophecy has come true.

The semiquincentennial is an opportunity to reconsider the American project, and not just because it has provoked a reconsideration of the revolution itself. The American experiment has ended, and the beginning must offer at least some clue to its ending.

Like those of any creation myth, the details of the Revolution are fuzzy but the impressions indelible. A boy stands beside a hack-down cherry tree. A man rides through the dark, waking villagers. Men hurl tea into a harbor. Women stitch stars into a flag. The events surrounding the revolution exist half in a dream space. History bleeds into the shades of myth.

One of the earliest signals of the sudden and rapid American decline has been the intellectual whiplash of its understanding of its own history. During the grand iconoclasm of 2020, mostly devoted to the desecration of civil war generals, protesters also tore down statues of Jefferson and Washington.

In response to the radical critique of US history, both Florida and Texas have rewritten their school curricula on the revolution, to promote more conservative viewpoints. In Florida, they have called their alternative to AP history the Florida Advanced Courses and Tests, or Fact, proving that somebody still has a sense of humor.

Its vision of the founding focuses on “American civilization, as well as its deep roots in English and, more broadly, Western civilization”, which is a bit rich. If you wanted English civilization, you wouldn’t have become Americans in the first place. But agenda-driven histories of the revolution, on both left and right, shouldn’t be taken seriously as an account or a reckoning. They’re vibes: America’s, like, gross. Or, America’s, like, the best.

There have been works of more substantial history to coincide with the 250th anniversary. Ken Burns’ The American Revolution is of the same quality and depth as any of his other documentaries but less satisfying. In his works on the civil war and jazz and baseball, he expanded and informed the broad strokes of widely known histories with vivid detail and rich storytelling. But the revolution is so mythical already that learning what it was actually like diminishes it somehow.

In his telling, the founders weren’t heroes. They weren’t monsters. They were men in the mess of history, a stew of ideals and venality and interests, living in the middle of situations and mixed loyalties and physical necessities. They committed brutalities occasionally. They shone with bravery occasionally. They were stupid occasionally. They were brilliant occasionally.

Burns bares the contradictions of the revolution, but they’ve already been well established. The founders’ love of liberty derived, directly, from their practice of slavery. Jefferson wrote the Declaration of Independence while a valet who was the son of his slave and his father-in-law served him tea. “The crisis is arrived when we must assert our rights,” George Washington wrote, “or submit to every imposition that can be heaped upon us, till custom and use shall make us as tame and abject slaves, as the blacks we rule over with such arbitrary sway.”

The American Revolution began with propertied men desiring no limit on their property, but it was fought mostly by men who owned nothing. The Revolution was a civil war as much as a struggle for liberation. Benjamin Franklin’s son was a loyalist.

But this was all well-established if not well-known. The revolution contained contradictions, just as the United States contains multitudes. What was unique in the founding of the United States was neither the violence nor the idealism. It was the capacity to turn the violence and the idealism into a mythology. The most revolutionary effect of American independence was that it created a sense of the United States as a unique country, an exception to history.

Whatever viewpoint an American takes on the revolution, left or right, it guarantees the conclusion that the United States is the greatest country in the history of the world. Even when Americans say they don’t believe it, they believe it.

American exceptionalism runs deeper than belief. It’s ingrained, bred in the bone. There is no America without American exceptionalism

American exceptionalism runs deeper than belief. It’s ingrained, bred in the bone. There is no America without American exceptionalism. And that exceptionalism began in the revolution.

The United States increasingly feels like a country overwhelmed by history, smothered by a past it can neither face nor overcome. As the US has declined, politically, economically, socially, culturally, it has turned back to its origin more than ever before, in a doomed quest to retain its conviction of its exceptionality.

At no point has America ever been more backward-looking. A recent Pew Research poll found that 59% of Americans believe its best years are behind it. And this is not some vague sense in the air. The distant American past, rather than the American future, is increasingly the basis of its political structure. The most pronounced, and most lasting, legacy of the Trump years is that it has turned originalism into the dominant framework of the American legal system.

The warping of its politics as a result of nostalgia has been extraordinary. Since Bruen, the decision in which the supreme court applied a historical standard to the second amendment, or the “nation’s historic tradition of firearm regulation”, US courts have been flooded with arguments, fundamentally unanswerable, about views of guns from 250 years ago.

That, of course, is only the beginning of the absurdities. They have also allowed racial gerrymandering to return. That, too, is a reflection of the national origin: gerrymandering was invented by Elbridge Gerry, governor of Massachusetts and founding father.

Donald Trump is the ultimate nostalgia act. I mean, they call it “make America great again” for a reason. Trump’s violation of political norms must be understood as fully consistent with a revolutionary country in which patriotism was determined, from the beginning, by the violent overthrow of established order.

“There’s a lot of people out there calling for the end of violence ... who say that any violence or aggression at all is unacceptable regardless of the circumstances.” Rush Limbaugh said this after January 6. He continued: “I am glad Sam Adams ... Thomas Paine ... the actual tea party guys ... the men at Lexington and Concord, didn’t feel that way.” The elected officials the rioters attacked have come to agree with their attackers. In the “anti-weaponization fund” Trump sought to create, which could have rewarded the latter-day rebels, he symbolically chose $1.776bn dollars as the total.

Here’s the thing about Trump. Nobody can say that he is un-American. He is all too American. Burns’ retelling of the revolution is clarifying: The motives of the revolution, so clouded over in the mists of Enlightenment idealism, were grounded in more or less pure greed. The crown had halted continental expansion over the Appalachian mountains; it had attempted to ban speculation and trade in lands which it considered to belong, by right, to Indigenous people.

After the Seven Years’ war, which had made North America British, the Empire was financially exhausted. The British subject paid 26 shillings of tax to one shilling of the colonists. That one was too much. The other harbinger of the revolution was the glee of mobs. Tarring and feathering of British officials was a grand amusement. The movement from subject to citizen was, as the documentary says, “a spectacle of violence”.

“Grab’em by the pussy” is perfectly consistent with the spirit of the revolution, every bit as much as “all men are created equal.” The founding fathers felt entitled to something for nothing, for work without paying for it. They humiliated and degraded anyone who objected.

The Americans are slouching back to their origin. Greed and spectacles of punishment define them.

Americans aren’t addicted to liberty itself, but the sense of liberation, the throwing off of shackles. They get high on it. The revolution rendered mobs overthrowing, by violence, political authority an explicit political good, the foundational political good. And it is pure poison. It is the American poison.

They are drinking their own poison. They are drinking it all the way down. And they’re dying of it.

American exceptionalism continues unabated. They still go about lecturing the world, claiming that their military’s sport killing is an activation of moral right. The United States’s entire foreign policy as a superpower, from the end of the second world war on, can be reduced to a single line from an officer during the Tet offensive in Vietnam: “It became necessary to destroy the town to save it.”

As the Americans return to their origin, to their primal urge, they are losing themselves. In a kind of atavistic dissolution, the originalists are rendering the constitution increasingly meaningless. The icons are desecrated. They paint over the granite of the reflecting pool. They have torn down the White House all on their own; the British didn’t need to burn it.

  • Stephen Marche is the host of the podcast Gloves Off

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Why European cities keep failing to fight overtourism | The European Correspondent

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  • Cities keep passing measures against overtourism, yet tourist numbers rise anyway. Why is that?

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How Germany's economy missed the train to the future.

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A US ambassador turned police on an activist, then on me | The European Correspondent

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  • Cities keep passing measures against overtourism, yet tourist numbers rise anyway. Why is that?

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What has the EU ever done for for us?
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How Germany's economy missed the train to the future.

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First death confirmed in Lackland flu outbreak, Rep. Castro says

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In recent weeks, a flu outbreak has sickened hundreds of recruits at Lackland Air Force Base. Above, a flight of newly arrived recruits receive instructions from Technical Sgt. Kaleb Schmidt on Dec. 16, 2025.

Marvin Pfeiffer/San Antonio Express-News

The Air Force has acknowledged that the recent death of a recruit in basic training at Joint Base San Antonio-Lackland was caused by a flu virus that has swept the base, according to U.S. Rep. Joaquin Castro.

It was the first confirmation that Airman 1st Class Keon Talik McDaniel, 25, of Grand Rapids, Mich., died of influenza. Previously, the Air Force said only that McDaniel, who was in his sixth week of basic training, suffered "a medical emergency" and died at Brooke Army Medical Center on June 16. Air Force officials did not disclose whether he had contracted the flu. They said the cause of death was under investigation.

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On Tuesday afternoon, however, Castro said in a statement: “The Air Force confirmed that trainee Keon McDaniel died from the flu during the outbreak at Lackland Air Force Base in San Antonio."

The San Antonio Democrat has been in contact with Air Force officials to track the influenza surge and has given regular public updates. He and two fellow Democratic lawmakers on Tuesday called for federal legislation to require flu vaccinations for all military personnel.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth rescinded the flu vaccine requirement in April, and in May influenza began spreading at Lackland, which is the hub of Air Force basic training, graduating 35,000 airmen every year.

Castro said McDaniel's death was "a tragedy that could have been prevented were it not for the reckless actions of Secretary Hegseth. I will continue to push for the Pentagon to fully restore its vaccine mandate and protect lives. Our military must be guided by science, not politics.”

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After the flu began spreading at Lackland, the Pentagon suspended the voluntary vaccine policy for recruits at the base; for the time being at least, they once again must be vaccinated.

When the outbreak became public on June 18, 160 recruits were said to have been infected. By June 25, the number had reached 284, Castro said Tuesday. The Air Force said it could neither confirm nor dispute that number.

Reps. Chrissy Houlahan, D-Pa., and Gilbert Cisneros, D-Calif., joined Castro on Tuesday in proposing to amend the National Defense Authorization Act, which funds the military, to make flu shots mandatory for all service personnel. So far, they said, Republicans had blocked the amendment.

"In April, Secretary Hegseth called the flu mandate 'irrational and absurd,'" Castro said at a Capitol Hill news conference. "What's absurd about keeping those who serve our nation safe? No president or secretary should be able to play politics or put the health of our troops at risk." 

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Houlahan is an Air Force veteran and a member of the House Armed Services Committee. "I know that military readiness is built on discipline, professionalism and on leaders to make decisions based on evidence and not on ideology," she said. "Readiness begins and ends with healthy troops. That is why what is happening at Lackland is so deeply disturbing and troubling.

"Nearly 300 service members have become ill. Several have been hospitalized. One young American has reportedly died from flu-related causes," she said.

McDaniel was born in Panama City, Fla., the youngest of 10 children. His father, Christopher, served in the Air Force. The family lived in Ramstein, Germany, site of a U.S. Air Force base; San Antonio; Battle Creek, Mich.; and Las Vegas before settling in Grand Rapids, Mich.

The younger McDaniel graduated from Grand Rapids Central High School in 2019. He loved cars and fixing things and obtained a certification in automotive technology from Grand Rapids Community College, according to a funeral home obituary. He later joined the Michigan Air National Guard, 110th Wing, based in Battle Creek, and was looking forward to working in a civil engineering squadron.

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“He thought it would be the coolest thing in the world to learn how diesel engines worked and how the power produced would be distributed,” the obituary said. “With boundless optimism and excitement,” he reported for basic training at Lackland this spring.

Active Duty Talk, a Facebook group of Air Force noncommissioned officers, paid tribute to the young airman.

“To Trainee McDaniel, even though your time in the Air Force was short, you will always remain a member of the Air Force family,” read an unsigned post. “To the parents of Keon, please know you are in our deepest thoughts and prayers as you navigate this unimaginable tragedy.

"Trainee McDaniel took the call to wear his country’s uniform and serve his country proudly. The Halls of Valhalla have gained a new warrior.”

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Recruits at Lackland long have been required to be vaccinated against measles, mumps, rubella, polio and other diseases. They receive the shots during "Zero Week," the beginning of boot camp. On April 20, however, Hegseth announced that he was making flu vaccinations optional for all active-duty, reserve and Defense Department personnel.

"Under the disastrous Biden administration, this Pentagon waged an unrelenting war on our warriors on many fronts, including when it came to denying them simple medical autonomy and the freedom to express their religious convictions," Hegseth said then. "In other words, our men and women in uniform were forced to choose between their conscience and their country.

"The War Department is once again restoring freedom to our Joint Force," he said. "We are discarding the mandatory flu vaccine requirement, effective immediately."

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The War Department is once again restoring freedom to our Joint Force.

We are discarding the mandatory flu vaccine requirement, effective immediately. pic.twitter.com/9K5W8g0NsD

— Secretary of War Pete Hegseth (@SecWar) April 21, 2026

Castro and his two fellow Democrats on Tuesday cast Hegseth as an ideologue who had needlessly jeopardized the health of military personnel.

"Our colleagues in Congress have rejected our common-sense call to vaccinate service members from the flu," Castro said. "Despite this outbreak of flu at Joint Base San Antonio-Lackland, this Congress, the Republican majority, has refused to even allow an amendment to the NDAA to reinstate that flu vaccine mandate."

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Cisneros, a one-time naval officer who served as undersecretary of defense for personnel and readiness during the Biden administration, said the flu vaccine requirement was designed to protect troops and was backed by science.

"If people are sick and can’t do their jobs, that affects the readiness of the military," he said. "To kind of just ignore the science, it’s unacceptable, and it’s unthinkable and very ignorant."

Basic military training, or BMT, at Lackland is a 7½-week gantlet of calisthenics, weapons training, classroom instruction and field exercises that include simulated combat scenarios. Recruits live in four mammoth Airman Training Complexes: high-rise dorms that house 1,248 trainees each. During training, they march together in close formation, sit four to a table in dining facilities and sleep two feet apart in open bays.

In 2020, the Air Force moved swiftly to contain COVID-19 when the pandemic threatened to shut down basic training. Recruits remained organized in “flights,” but they were made up of 40 trainees, fewer than usual, and they spent their first two weeks isolated in dorms in ROM (“restriction-of-movement") status.

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In August 2021, the Defense Department required all military personnel to be vaccinated against COVID-19. Troops could apply for exemptions on medical or religious grounds. The vaccine mandate was rescinded by then-Defense Secretary Lloyd J. Austin III in January 2023.

Still, the pandemic-era requirement remains a potent grievance in some quarters. Thousands of service members who refused to be vaccinated were forced to leave the military, in some cases because their requests for religious exemptions were denied.

Since taking office in January 2025, Hegseth has opened a pathway for those former service members to return to their previous ranks with back pay and benefits.

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|Updated

Sig Christenson is a senior reporter for the Express-News covering the military and has been with the news organization since 1997. He can be reached at sigc@express-news.net.

He embedded with the 3rd Infantry Division during the Iraq invasion, and reported from Baghdad and Afghanistan seven times since. A University of Houston graduate, he covered the Branch Davidian siege, the 2003 space shuttle breakup, the 2009 Fort Hood shooting and its subsequent legal proceedings, as well as hurricanes, tropical storms and floods.

He's won awards from Hearst Newspapers and the Associated Press, was named "Reporter of the Year" by his peers in 2004 and is a co-founder and former president and board member of Military Reporters & Editors, established in 2002.

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Workers with long COVID more likely to leave jobs, lose productivity

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Adults with long COVID experience more productivity loss on the job and are more likely to leave the workplace altogether compared with people who recover from COVID or never develop persistent symptoms, according to a study published this week in the International Journal of Infectious Diseases

“In this large population-based cohort in a Western European setting, individuals with long-term post-COVID-19 condition (PCC) showed markedly higher rates of workforce exit and productivity loss compared with those recovered or never affected,” write researchers from the South Limburg Public Health Service and Maastricht University in the Netherlands.

Workers with long COVID more likely to leave jobs

For the study, the researchers followed up with 3,342 employed adults who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 from 2020 to 2022 and assessed their employment status and work functioning two years later.

By 2024, 17% of participants with long COVID had left the workforce, compared with 10% of those who had recovered from long COVID and 9% of those who never reported ongoing symptoms.

After adjusting for other possible confounding factors, long COVID remained associated with higher rates of leaving the workplace. Those with the condition had a 38% higher likelihood of workplace exit (adjusted odds ratio, 1.38; 95% confidence interval, 1.02 to 1.86).

Persistent symptoms hinder workplace performance

For those with long COVID who remained employed, work productivity was more likely to suffer compared with those without the condition. 

Absenteeism, or work missed because of health, was highest in the long-COVID group, at 14%. Those who had recovered from the condition experienced an 8% absenteeism rate, compared with 5% for those who never had the condition.

In addition, presenteeism (working while ill) was higher for those with PCC. Presenteeism was up to three times higher in those with PCC (43%), compared with those who had recovered from the condition (23%) and those who never had the condition (13%).

These results highlight the substantial personal, societal, and economic burden of PCC and the urgent need for long-term support.

“Absenteeism and presenteeism were higher in participants with PCC and those who had recovered, compared with Never PCC, despite similar working hours across all three groups,” write the researchers. “This likely reflects residual symptoms and reduced work capacity in those recovered, possibly influenced by limited workplace support or changes in job demands.”

Among participants who had left the workforce, 46% of those with long COVID reported being unable to work because of health issues, compared with 17% of recovered participants and 12% of those who had never experienced long COVID. 

The study also found that long COVID put financial strain on people. More than half (54%) of unemployed participants with the condition reported financial difficulty, compared with 19% of those who never had persistent symptoms. 

‘Urgent need for long-term support’

“PCC substantially impacts workforce participation and productivity,” write the researchers. They also note that the financial strain on those whose ability to work is affected by COVID may further restrict their access to healthcare and worsen overall health.

“These results highlight the substantial personal, societal, and economic burden of PCC and the urgent need for long-term support, workplace accommodations, and targeted interventions.”

They suggest that flexible schedules, remote work, phased return-to-work programs, and modified workloads could help people with long COVID remain employed. 

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COVID-19 May Follow a Different Seasonal Pattern Than Influenza, RSV

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New wastewater data and prior research suggest COVID-19 may follow recurring spring and summer transmission patterns, unlike influenza and RSV.

Researchers have observed an uptick in SARS-CoV-2 levels in wastewater, alongside slight increases in other respiratory viruses, as temperatures rise, according to the most recent report from BioBot, a wastewater intelligence platform.1

Although overall respiratory virus activity remains low nationwide, the increase aligns with previous research suggesting that transmission can rise during the spring and summer months, particularly in the southern US. These observations parallel recent trends reported by the CDC, which indicate that COVID-19 activity is growing or likely to grow in Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi.2

Current SARS-CoV-2 wastewater levels remain low nationally, and the CDC does not predict a summer surge. However, officials note that future activity could increase if a substantially immune-evasive variant were to emerge. Such scenarios reinforce the importance of continued surveillance rather than serving as forecasts of an imminent wave.3

Research Suggests COVID-19 Experiences Spring and Summer Waves in Addition to Winter Peaks

Unlike influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), which generally follow predictable fall and winter seasonal patterns, SARS-CoV-2 has demonstrated a more variable transmission pattern since the beginning of the pandemic. Researchers attribute these differences to a combination of waning population immunity, the emergence of new variants, regional climate differences, and human behavior rather than temperature alone.

One study examining COVID-19 incidence across the US identified 3 recurring annual increases in cases: a primary peak during the early- to mid-winter months followed by 2 smaller waves occurring in the spring and again during mid- to late summer.4 During both the 2020-2021 and 2021-2022 respiratory seasons, spring activity peaked around mid- to late April, while the second increase occurred between late July and August.4

In April 2026, reports of the BA.3.2 SARS-CoV-2 lineage, commonly referred to as the Cicada variant, also increased, accompanied by greater detection in wastewater surveillance. Although evidence regarding the variant's transmissibility remains limited, experts note that BA.3.2 contains more than 70 mutations, several of which may contribute to immune evasion rather than inherently increasing transmissibility.5 Continued monitoring will be necessary to determine whether the variant alters seasonal transmission patterns.

Regional Climate and Human Behavior May Help Explain Summer COVID-19 Transmission

Additional research has shown that COVID-19 transmission frequently oscillates between northern and southern regions of the US throughout the year. During the summer months, increases have historically been observed in southern states, including Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi, before shifting northward during the winter months.6

Rather than warm weather itself driving transmission, researchers suggest that seasonal behavioral and environmental factors likely contribute to these regional differences. High temperatures and humidity often encourage people to spend more time indoors in air-conditioned environments where prolonged close contact may facilitate viral spread. Summer travel, gatherings, and declining immunity from prior vaccination or infection may also contribute to seasonal increases.6

These observations differ from influenza and RSV, which remain predominantly winter respiratory viruses despite occasional fluctuations in timing. Influenza transmission is favored by colder, drier conditions, while RSV typically peaks from late fall through winter. In contrast, SARS-CoV-2 continues to exhibit a more flexible seasonal pattern that appears to be shaped by viral evolution and changes in population immunity in addition to environmental factors.

Researchers caution that these recurring patterns should not be interpreted as fixed predictions. The timing and magnitude of future COVID-19 waves will continue to depend on the emergence of new variants, population immunity, vaccination uptake, and local environmental conditions. Nevertheless, the findings underscore the value of wastewater surveillance as an early warning tool that can detect increasing viral circulation before clinical cases begin to rise, allowing health systems and public health officials additional time to prepare.

References

1. Donnelly M. COVID-19, influenza, and RSV wastewater monitoring in the US: week of June 13, 2026. BioBot. June 22, 2026. Accessed June 29, 2026.

2. CFA: Modeling and forecasting: current epidemic trends (based on Rt). CDC. June 26, 2026. Accessed June 29, 2026.

3. Respiratory illnesses: respiratory illnesses data channel. CDC. June 26, 2026. Accessed June 29, 2026.

4. Shamsa EH, Shamsa A, Zhang K. Seasonality of COVID-19 incidence in the United States. Front Public Health. 2023;11. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1298593

5. McCrear S. Cicada COVID-19 variant FAQs: symptoms, risk, and prevention. AJMC®. June 4, 2026. Accessed June 29, 2026.

6. Jala H, Lee K, Burke DS. Oscillating spatiotemporal patterns in COVID-19 in the United States. Sci Rep. 2024;14(1):21562. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-72517-6

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